The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Persela Lamongan 59.3%
Draw 23.8%
de Red 17%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
60.9%
24.7%
14.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.2%
23.8%
13.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Persela Lamongan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
de Red has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Persela Lamongan than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for de Red than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Persela Lamongan - de Red Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Mahreza R. (G) 64. Arrosyid Z. 10. Caique Souza 57. Drajat R. 20. Goncalves 9. Juninho 18. Rianto I. 80. Riski Boski 25. Showwam A. 12. Siswanto H. 22. Sulistyawan D. (C)
92. Galih D. (G) 6. Ahmad Fahd 66. Bajo I. 53. Dimitri 23. El Burji W. 8. Fafa S. 10. Fellipe Veloso 18. Keven 26. Pratama H. 19. Sadewa M. 54. Supriadi
Substitutes
88. Akbar A. 78. Ardiansyah H. 17. Arianto R. 56. Ifan Nanda 19. Malik A. 31. Putra F. 8. Riza H. 27. Saputro E. (G) 29. Syukron M. 71. Ubaidillah A. 50. Widyansyah S. 99. Yudo K.
21. Agung T. 79. Alparedo G. 88. Aziz A. 13. Febrianto I. 11. Giofani G. 14. Ji D. 25. Muzakkar K. 37. Riyadi A. 75. Sambodo P. (G) 64. Thoriq U. 93. Vieri R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Juninho ⚽, Caique Souza (A),
40', Arrosyid Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Sadewa M. ↓, Thoriq U. ↑,
52', Riski Boski 🟨,
55', 1 - 1, Fellipe Veloso ⚽,
62', 2 - 1, Caique Souza ⚽, Drajat R. (A),
67', Sulistyawan D. ↓, Riza H. ↑,
67', Arrosyid Z. ↓, Ubaidillah A. ↑,
67', Supriadi ↓, Giofani G. ↑,
67', Fafa S. ↓, Aziz A. ↑,
77', Ahmad Fahd ↓, Muzakkar K. ↑,
79', Juninho ↓, Yudo K. ↑,
83', Muzakkar K. 🟨,
90+1', Caique Souza ↓, Syukron M. ↑,
90+1', Riski Boski ↓, Ifan Nanda ↑,
90+2', Bajo I. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 2, Keven ⚽,
90+4', Keven 🟨,
Preview
A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 5th and 8th).
Persela Lamongan has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
de Red has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Persela Lamongan could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, Persela Lamongan enters as the overwhelming favorite.
These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.