The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Persiba Balikpapan 31.7%
Draw 29%
Deltras Sidoarjo 39.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.4%
26.9%
49.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.9%
26.3%
50.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Persiba Balikpapan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Persiba Balikpapan's performance.
Deltras Sidoarjo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deltras Sidoarjo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Persiba Balikpapan than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Persiba Balikpapan that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deltras Sidoarjo than the current prediction. (+11.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deltras Sidoarjo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Persiba Balikpapan - Deltras Sidoarjo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Muzaki H. (G) 19. Abdillah I. 4. Ilham M. 71. Kurniawan A. 79. Nagashima K. 10. Nishihara T. 15. Nofiansyah D. 62. Oktovianto B. 77. Sabda L. 24. Uzlah V. 22. Vieri R.
75. Sambodo P. (G) 23. El-Burji W. 67. Fajar S. 41. Fisabilillah A. 32. Giofani G. 13. Idris M. 10. Neville Mbanwei T. 44. Ragil B. (C) 22. Takatoku Y. 8. Tito Hamzah 6. Usemahu M.
Substitutes
91. Ahmad A. 5. Arrahim B. 18. Arya D. 23. Fauzi M. 9. Fauzi R. 38. Hidayat R. 25. Ibnu Yazid 78. Krisna A. 81. Kusni R. (G) 27. Pahlevi R. . Poru W. 14. Singgih M.
46. Depriadi K. 25. Efendi R. 68. Fadzillah A. 5. Hamzah M. 7. Hidayat T. 9. Irman M. . Juan 18. Novianto M. 24. Rafli M. 19. Sawery Y. 11. Soares F. 20. Udu S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Nishihara T. (Penalty Awarded),
20', 1 - 1, Neville Mbanwei T. (Penalty Awarded),
33', Usemahu M. 🟨,
39', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Takatoku Y. 🟨,
59', 1 - 2, Tito Hamzah ⚽,
60', Nagashima K. ↓, Krisna A. ↑,
62', Takatoku Y. ↓, Fadzillah A. ↑,
67', Kurniawan A. 🟥,
68', Oktovianto B. ↓, Arrahim B. ↑,
68', Nofiansyah D. ↓, Arya D. ↑,
74', Tito Hamzah ↓, Hidayat T. ↑,
74', Idris M. ↓, Hamzah M. ↑,
74', Uzlah V. ↓, Pahlevi R. ↑,
75', Ilham M. ↓, Ibnu Yazid ↑,
80', Hamzah M. 🟨,
87', Giofani G. ↓, Depriadi K. ↑,
87', Neville Mbanwei T. ↓, Irman M. ↑,
90+2', Hidayat T. 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 5).
Persiba Balikpapan has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Deltras is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
In this match, Deltras is a strong favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Persiba Balikpapan won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
Including home match between the teams, Persiba Balikpapan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.