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Current Win Probability
Persikad Depok 30.8%
Draw 26.8%
PSPS Riau 42.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43%
25.6%
31.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.4%
26.4%
30.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Persikad Depok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Persikad Depok's form might have worsened.
PSPS Riau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting PSPS Riau's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Persikad Depok than the current prediction. (+13.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Persikad Depok, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSPS Riau than the current prediction. (-12.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for PSPS Riau, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Persikad Depok - PSPS Riau Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
48. Al Gasemi D. (G) 33. Al Mudzaki P. 2. Fofana H. O. 53. Gultom D. 9. Gustavo Franca 10. Mena Perez J. E. 32. Safrizal Y. 30. Saputra R. (C) 21. Sitepu N. 17. Tawainella R. 14. Wiranda I.
75. Meka J. (G) 32. Ariyanto V. 17. Aziz A. 13. Kusuma I. 14. Kusuma R. 5. Luiz Henrique 8. Matheus Farinha 55. Riski J. 10. Toninho 19. Trenady P. 25. Tuasalamony A. (C)
Substitutes
24. Alviqi G. 5. Ananda R. 12. Ardiansyah F. 26. Badawi R. 18. Dwi S. 15. Firdaus F. 16. Ibnu Yazid 39. Marhaen A. 23. Petra Y. (G) 27. Ramadoni F. 77. Tawainella Y. 95. Tuakia S.
7. Deva H. 1. Dicki Agung (G) 97. Fathoni I. 18. Khairullah Z. 63. Lubis A. 16. Pratama H. 3. Rama R. 6. Revan M. 4. Solikin M. 62. Wicaksono D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
4', 1 - 0, Luiz Henrique (Own goal),
11', 1 - 1, Toninho ⚽, Aziz A. (A),
14', 1 - 2, Aziz A. ⚽, Riski J. (A),
26', Gultom D. ↓, Ardiansyah F. ↑,
45', Fofana H. O. 🟨,
45+2', 2 - 2, Gustavo Franca ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ariyanto V. ↓, Deva H. ↑,
46', Tawainella R. ↓, Ramadoni F. ↑,
56', Kusuma I. 🟨,
62', Mena Perez J. E. 🟨,
70', Riski J. ↓, Wicaksono D. ↑,
71', Saputra R. ↓, Tuakia S. ↑,
76', Luiz Henrique ↓, Revan M. ↑,
81', Aziz A. ↓, Lubis A. ↑,
81', Matheus Farinha ↓, Fathoni I. ↑,
87', Ramadoni F. 🟨,
90+3', Al Mudzaki P. ↓, Ibnu Yazid ↑,
90+4', Tuakia S. ↓, Firdaus F. ↑,
90+11', 2 - 3, Toninho ⚽, Fathoni I. (A),
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Championship Promotion - Playoffs and 1st in the Promotion - Super League).
Persikad has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
PSPS Riau is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Persikad has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:5 (averaging 1.7:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Persikad against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.
Indonesia
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Al Gasemi D. (G) 
Fofana H. O. 
Gustavo Franca 
Mena Perez J. E. 
Riski J. 
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