Match Info

Championship - Round 6

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Mandala Stadium (Jayapura)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Vidio


	Persipura Jayapura		Persiba Balikpapan

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.4	6.96
	1.75	3.48	4.30	Watch
	1.71	3.44	4.48
	1.75	3.5	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.75)	3.71 ↑ (3.48)	5 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Persipura Jayapura
56.4%

Draw
25%

Persiba Balikpapan
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

26.3%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

25.5%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Persipura Jayapura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Persiba Balikpapan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Persipura Jayapura than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Persiba Balikpapan than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Persipura Jayapura - Persiba Balikpapan Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Persipura Jayapura (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Persipura Jayapura (1.53) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Persipura Jayapura (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Persiba Balikpapan (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Al Hakim A. (G) 2. Ayomi F. 16. Dusay A. 10. Matheus 21. Pae Y. 23. Rumakiek R. (C) 7. Salampessy R. 14. Sanadi R. 82. Sroyer J. 43. Uopmabin F. 8. Yoku F.	1. Pancar (G) 19. Abdillah I. 5. Arrahim B. 2. Daud A. 9. Fauzi A. 70. Kholmatov S. 79. Nagashima K. 10. Nishihara T. 15. Nofiansyah D. 78. Poru W. 7. Rachman A. (C)
Substitutes
42. Aisoki S. 20. Basna E. 30. Harewan E. N. 5. Kansai S. 22. Madjar M. 33. Mandowen G. 17. Pahabol F. 29. Reimas S. (G) 86. Solossa B. 12. Sunuk R. 11. Todd Ferre 24. Wanewar M.	21. Masagus Zakaria 31. Muzaki H. (G) 62. Oktovianto B. 45. Prasito A. 6. Prawira J. 24. Uzlah V. 22. Vieri R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Abdillah I. 🟨,
26', Rumakiek R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Yoku F. ↓, Mandowen G. ↑,
46', Pae Y. ↓, Sunuk R. ↑,
54', Salampessy R. ↓, Madjar M. ↑,
61', Matheus 🟥,
76', Fauzi A. ↓, Oktovianto B. ↑,
76', Rachman A. ↓, Uzlah V. ↑,
77', 1 - 0, Rumakiek R. ⚽, Sroyer J. (A),
78', Abdillah I. ↓, Prasito A. ↑,
86', Uopmabin F. ↓, Basna E. ↑,
90+4', Nofiansyah D. ↓, Prawira J. ↑,
90+5', Sroyer J. ↓, Pahabol F. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Persipura Jayapura won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Persipura Jayapura may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Persipura Jayapura is considered a favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Persipura Jayapura won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:14. (average 1.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Persipura Jayapura won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Persipura Jayapura
Indonesian Championship
11.10.25	Deltras Sidoarjo - Persipura Jayapura	2:0 ✺
06.10.25	Persela Lamongan - Persipura Jayapura	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Persipura Jayapura - Tornado Pekanbaru	2:3 ✺
20.09.25	Persipura Jayapura - PSIS Semarang	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Persipal Palu - Persipura Jayapura	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWLWT
- Persiba Balikpapan
Indonesian Championship
12.10.25	Persiba Balikpapan - Persela Lamongan	0:3 ✺
06.10.25	Tornado Pekanbaru - Persiba Balikpapan	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	PSIS Semarang - Persiba Balikpapan	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Persiba Balikpapan - Persipal Palu	4:2 ✺
15.09.25	PSS Sleman - Persiba Balikpapan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Championship
18.11.23	Persiba Balikpapan - Persipura Jayapura	3:1
22.09.23	Persipura Jayapura - Persiba Balikpapan	1:1
03.09.22	Persiba Balikpapan - Persipura Jayapura	2:1
Indonesian Super League
17.09.17	Persipura Jayapura - Persiba Balikpapan	4:2
22.05.17	Persiba Balikpapan - Persipura Jayapura	0:2
Indonesian ISC
19.11.16	Persiba Balikpapan - Persipura Jayapura	1:3
25.07.16	Persipura Jayapura - Persiba Balikpapan	1:1

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