Match Info

INDONESIA: Liga 1 - Round 18

Date: 12 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Utama Sport Center Kelapa Dua (Tangerang)

Where to Watch on TV:


India	Vision+
Indonesia	Indosiar, K-Vision, Vidio


	Persita Tangerang		PSIS Semarang

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	2.95	2.75
	2.32	3.05	2.95	Watch
	2.41	3.19	2.96	Watch
	2.3	2.9	3
	2.37	3.02	2.89	Watch
	2.32	3.05	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (1.94)	3.03 ↓ (3.27)	2.92 ↓ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Persita Tangerang
38.8%

Draw
30%

PSIS Semarang
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

28.1%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

27.3%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Persita Tangerang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Persita Tangerang's form might have worsened.

PSIS Semarang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting PSIS Semarang's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Persita Tangerang than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Persita Tangerang, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSIS Semarang than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for PSIS Semarang, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Persita Tangerang - PSIS Semarang Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Rodrigues I. (G) 11. Toha M. (C) 4. Utomo R. 50. Kozubayev T. 66. Jardel M. 33. Bae Sin-Young 32. Septiawan R. D. 40. Tanamal I. 46. Yafi Y. 20. Bessa E. 10. Ogboe M.	26. Trisna S. (G) 4. Ruxi 5. Ferrari J. 6. Lucas 14. Ardiansyah R. 21. Diarra B. 19. Dewangga A. 29. David M. (C) 68. Setiawan T. 99. Gustavo Souza 10. Brandao E.
Substitutes
18. Brown G. 90. Brown J. 9. Hardianto A. 77. Ilham B. 96. Kartika A. (G) 79. Kusuma A. 22. Majok A. 21. Oscario R. (G) 27. Rindorindo A. 99. Sahrul E. 8. Sudin F. 25. Zola G.	45. Buddin S. 25. Ferizal S. 7. Freitas Gali 69. Rumbino D. 30. Satryo A. (G) 11. Sudi A. 56. Syuhada R.
Coaches
Lefundes F.	Agius G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Ogboe M. ⚽, Bessa E. (A),
10', 1 - 1, David M. ⚽, Ferrari J. (A),
12', Jardel M. 🟨,
45+2', Dewangga A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 2 - 1, Bessa E. ⚽, Toha M. (A),
58', Brandao E. 🟥,
63', David M. ↓, Freitas Gali ↑,
67', Gustavo Souza ↓, Sudi A. ↑,
67', Setiawan T. ↓, Syuhada R. ↑,
68', Yafi Y. ↓, Majok A. ↑,
79', Bessa E. ↓, Ilham B. ↑,
79', Tanamal I. ↓, Sahrul E. ↑,
86', Dewangga A. ↓, Rumbino D. ↑,
90', Bae Sin-Young ↓, Sudin F. ↑,
90', Ogboe M. ↓, Kusuma A. ↑,
90+4', Rodrigues I. 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Persita Tangerang won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Persita Tangerang will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Persita Tangerang won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11:22 (average 1.1:2.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Persita Tangerang won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1.3:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Persita Tangerang
Indonesian Super League
29.12.24	Persita Tangerang - PSM Makassar	2:1 ✺
22.12.24	Persib Bandung - Persita Tangerang	3:1 ✺
16.12.24	Persita Tangerang - Dewa United	0:4 ✺
12.12.24	PSBS Biak Numfor - Persita Tangerang	1:3 ✺
08.12.24	Persita Tangerang - Persis Solo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 WLLWW
- PSIS Semarang
Indonesian Super League
29.12.24	Barito Putera - PSIS Semarang	0:0 ✺
22.12.24	PSIS Semarang - Java United	1:3 ✺
17.12.24	PSS Sleman - PSIS Semarang	2:1 ✺
11.12.24	PSIS Semarang - Bali United Pusam	2:1 ✺
06.12.24	Borneo Samarinda - PSIS Semarang	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
11.08.24	PSIS Semarang - Persita Tangerang	0:1
09.11.23	PSIS Semarang - Persita Tangerang	4:0
08.07.23	Persita Tangerang - PSIS Semarang	2:0
25.02.23	PSIS Semarang - Persita Tangerang	1:1
14.09.22	Persita Tangerang - PSIS Semarang	1:0
Indonesian President Cup
13.06.22	PSIS Semarang - Persita Tangerang	6:1
Indonesian Super League
20.03.22	PSIS Semarang - Persita Tangerang	3:3

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