Match Info

ITALY: Primavera 2 - Round 18

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Perugia U19		Monopoli U19

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.2	4.4
	1.61	4.15	4.5
	1.6	4.16	4.5	Watch
	1.68	3.88	4.66
	1.57	4.2	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.89)	4.12 ↑ (3.66)	4.49 ↑ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Perugia U19
57.2%

Draw
22.3%

Monopoli U19
20.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.4%

24.9%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

23.9%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Perugia U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Perugia U19's performance.

Monopoli U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Monopoli U19 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia U19 than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Perugia U19 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monopoli U19 than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Monopoli U19 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Perugia U19 - Monopoli U19 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 15).

Perugia U19 is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Monopoli U19 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Perugia U19 will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Perugia U19 won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:4 (average 1.8:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Perugia U19 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Perugia Calcio U19
Italian Primavera 2
01.02.25	Frosinone U19 - Perugia U19	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Perugia U19 - Napoli U19	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Ternana U19 - Perugia U19	8:0 ✺
11.01.25	Palermo U19 - Perugia U19	2:1 ✺
21.12.24	Perugia U19 - Spezia U19	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTLLW
- Monopoli U19
Italian Primavera 2
01.02.25	Monopoli U19 - Benevento U19	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Bari U19 - Monopoli U19	1:0 ✺
18.01.25	Monopoli U19 - Spezia U19	1:3 ✺
11.01.25	Ascoli U19 - Monopoli U19	5:3 ✺
21.12.24	Monopoli U19 - Cosenza U19	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Primavera 2
19.10.24	Monopoli U19 - Perugia U19	0:2
17.02.24	Perugia U19 - Monopoli U19	3:0
07.10.23	Monopoli U19 - Perugia U19	1:3
25.02.23	Perugia U19 - Monopoli U19	1:2
15.10.22	Monopoli U19 - Perugia U19	1:0

Perugia U19 - Monopoli U19