Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO CARIOCA 2 - ROUND 6

Date: 17 June 2023, Saturday


	Petrópolis		Cabofriense

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.2	4.2
	1.77	3.22	4.64
	1.76	3.34	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.97)	3.25 ↑ (3.1)	4.48 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Petrópolis
51.7%

Draw
28%

Cabofriense
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

29.3%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petrópolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Petrópolis's performance.

Cabofriense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petrópolis than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Petrópolis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cabofriense than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cabofriense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Petrópolis - Cabofriense Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Petrópolis will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Cabofriense will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 9).

Recent matches Gonçalense is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Cabofriense is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Gonçalense is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Gonçalense won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Gonçalense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petrópolis FC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
11.06.23	Araruama - Petrópolis	0:0 ✺
03.06.23	Petrópolis - America RJ	0:2 ✺
27.05.23	Americano Rio de Janeiro - Petrópolis	1:1 ✺
20.05.23	Artsul - Petrópolis	1:1 ✺
13.05.23	Petrópolis - Macaé	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLTTT
- AD Cabofriense
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
10.06.23	Cabofriense - Macaé	2:1 ✺
03.06.23	Olaria - Cabofriense	2:1 ✺
31.05.23	Cabofriense - Resende	1:2 ✺
20.05.23	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Cabofriense	4:3 ✺
13.05.23	Cabofriense - Friburguense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
22.06.22	Cabofriense - Petrópolis	1:2
20.06.21	Petrópolis - Cabofriense	1:0

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