Match Info

SLOVAKIA: Slovak Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: Štadión FC Petržalka 1898 (Bratislava)


	Petrzalka		MFK Košice

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	2.75
	2	3.6	3.1
	2.19	3.79	2.67
	2.14	3.86	2.77
	2.15	3.4	2.7
	2.25	3.49	2.84	Watch
	2	3.6	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (4.61)	3.58 ↓ (3.95)	2.85 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Petrzalka
42.6%

Draw
25.4%

MFK Košice
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.8%

23.1%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9%

24.2%

59.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petrzalka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Petrzalka's performance.

MFK Košice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-25.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and MFK Košice might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petrzalka than the current prediction. (-23.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Petrzalka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MFK Košice than the current prediction. (+27.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that MFK Košice could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Petrzalka - MFK Košice Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zakech R. (G) 8. Begala R. 11. Danek P. 6. Dinga D. 93. Gasparovic L. 27. Holasek D. 95. Konan A. 10. Mazan P. 17. Nagy P. 25. Orsula F. (C) 97. Surnovsky P.	22. Kira M. (G) 6. Bokros S. 11. dos Santos L. 19. Fabis L. 23. Fasko M. 8. Gallovic D. 24. Kruzliak D. (C) 21. Magda D. 55. Medved Z. 27. Miljanic K. 25. Zsigmund M.
Substitutes
24. Bordac D. 32. Demjanovic M. 33. Halouska P. (G) 16. Hlavaty M. 21. Murko J. 47. Obradovic P. 9. Pavuk D. 7. Riznic M. 20. Svec M.	88. Gorosito N. 10. Jones Z. 29. Sabolcik S. 17. Takac D. 30. Teplan M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Danek P. ↓, Pavuk D. ↑,
37', Medved Z. ↓, Gorosito N. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
55', 0 - 1, Fasko M. ⚽,
64', Mazan P. ↓, Bordac D. ↑,
74', dos Santos L. ↓, Sabolcik S. ↑,
80', 0 - 2, Gorosito N. ⚽,
82', Fasko M. ↓, Jones Z. ↑,
83', Orsula F. ↓, Murko J. ↑,
83', Pavuk D. ↓, Svec M. ↑,
83', Gasparovic L. ↓, Obradovic P. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 3, Gallovic D. ⚽,

Preview

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Petrzalka Akademia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match MFK Košice is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Petrzalka Akademia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:18 (average 1.5:4.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Petrzalka Akademia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:10 (average 2.5:5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Petrzalka
Slovak 2 Liga
12.10.24	Petrzalka - Tatran Liptovský Mikuláš	0:1 ✺
06.10.24	Šamorín - Petrzalka	1:2 ✺
Slovak Cup
25.09.24	Tomášov - Petrzalka	0:6 ✺
Slovak 2 Liga
22.09.24	Žilina B - Petrzalka	0:1 ✺
10.09.24	Petrzalka - FK Humenné	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWWWW
- MFK Košice
Slovak Superliga
05.10.24	MFK Košice - Ružomberok	2:1 ✺
28.09.24	Dukla Banská Bystrica - MFK Košice	2:3 ✺
Slovak Cup
25.09.24	Tesla Stropkov - MFK Košice	1:4 ✺
Slovak Superliga
21.09.24	MFK Košice - Žilina	1:2 ✺
15.09.24	MFK Košice - Spartak Trnava	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Slovak 2 Liga
01.04.23	MFK Košice - Petrzalka	5:0
04.09.22	Petrzalka - MFK Košice	2:2
24.04.22	Petrzalka - MFK Košice	3:8
03.11.21	MFK Košice - Petrzalka	3:1

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