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Current Win Probability
Petrópolis 38.4%
Draw 29.9%
Artsul 31.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
45.5%
28.9%
25.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.8%
26.9%
23.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Petrópolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Petrópolis's form might have worsened.
Artsul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Artsul's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petrópolis than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Petrópolis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Artsul than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Artsul, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
100%
0%
Petrópolis - Artsul Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 1 - 0, ⚽,
89', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Carioca B1 Playoffs - Semi - finals and 5th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Petrópolis won 1.
Petrópolis is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Performances by Artsul have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Petrópolis is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Petrópolis has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:3 (averaging 0.7:0.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Petrópolis against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:2 goals (averaging 0.6:0.4 per game).