Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 16

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday


	Pevidem		Joane

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.2	3.75
	1.8	3.38	4.27
	1.77	3.36	4.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.3)	3.31 ↑ (3.05)	4.08 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pevidem
50.3%

Draw
27.4%

Joane
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

29.6%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

28.9%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pevidem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pevidem's performance.

Joane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Joane might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pevidem than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pevidem that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joane than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Joane could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pevidem - Joane Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', 🟥,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Pevidem
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
18.01.25	Bragança - Pevidem	2:1 ✺
12.01.25	Pevidem - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:2 ✺
04.01.25	Pevidem - Rebordosa	1:1 ✺
14.12.24	Os Sandinenses - Pevidem	1:0 ✺
07.12.24	Pevidem - Paredes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLTLW
- GD Joane
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
19.01.25	Joane - Vianense	0:1 ✺
12.01.25	Vila Real - Joane	2:0 ✺
05.01.25	Joane - Brito	2:2 ✺
15.12.24	Bragança - Joane	1:2 ✺
08.12.24	Joane - Vitoria Guimarães B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
01.09.24	Joane - Pevidem	2:1

Pevidem - Joane: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide