Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP A - ROUND 21

Date: 24 February 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Pevidem		Montalegre

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.85	3.4
	2.1	2.9	3.6
	2.11	2.97	3.72
	2.04	3.08	3.55
	2.1	2.9	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.85)	2.94 ↓ (3.3)	3.56 ↓ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pevidem
43.6%

Draw
30.9%

Montalegre
25.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.1%

27.5%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

26.9%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pevidem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pevidem's form might have worsened.

Montalegre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pevidem than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pevidem, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montalegre than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group: ) and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pevidem won 1.

Pevidem is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Montalegre is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pevidem will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Pevidem won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Pevidem won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Pevidem
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
18.02.24	Dumiense - Pevidem	1:2 ✺
10.02.24	Pevidem - Brito	1:2 ✺
04.02.24	Os Sandinenses - Pevidem	0:4 ✺
27.01.24	Pevidem - Portosantense	1:0 ✺
20.01.24	Pevidem - Vila Real	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWWT
- CDC Montalegre
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
18.02.24	Montalegre - Brito	0:0 ✺
11.02.24	Portosantense - Montalegre	0:0 ✺
04.02.24	Montalegre - Marítimo B	1:3 ✺
28.01.24	Camacha - Montalegre	1:2 ✺
21.01.24	Montalegre - Vilar de Perdizes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
01.11.23	Montalegre - Pevidem	1:1
Taça de Portugal
22.10.23	Montalegre - Pevidem	2:1
Portuguese Liga 3
24.04.22	Montalegre - Pevidem	2:2
02.04.22	Pevidem - Montalegre	3:1
12.12.21	Pevidem - Montalegre	1:1
15.08.21	Montalegre - Pevidem	1:0

Pevidem - Montalegre

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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