Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 26

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	IB3


	Peña Deportiva		Andratx

	1	X	2
	1.98	2.95	3.6
	2.21	3.1	3.1
	2.21	3.07	3.43
	2.18	3.04	3.34	Watch
	2.13	3	3.58
	2.21	3.1	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.97)	3.04 ↑ (3.02)	3.36 ↓ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peña Deportiva
42.6%

Draw
30.1%

Andratx
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

30.3%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

29.7%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peña Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Andratx has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Deportiva than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andratx than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Peña Deportiva - Andratx Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Duran J. ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, Pinto S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
80', 1 - 2, Galvez P. ⚽,
90', 1 - 3, Valverde D. ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Andratx could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Peña Deportiva will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Peña Deportiva won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:5 (average 1.8:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Peña Deportiva won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peña Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
02.03.25	Espanyol B - Peña Deportiva	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Peña Deportiva - Torrent	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	Valencia B - Peña Deportiva	2:0 ✺
09.02.25	Peña Deportiva - Badalona Futur	3:1 ✺
02.02.25	Terrassa - Peña Deportiva	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TTLWL
- CE Andratx
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
01.03.25	Andratx - CE Europa	2:1 ✺
22.02.25	Mallorca B - Andratx	0:1 ✺
16.02.25	Andratx - Elche Ilicitano	0:5 ✺
09.02.25	Alzira - Andratx	1:2 ✺
02.02.25	Andratx - Olot	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
27.10.24	Andratx - Peña Deportiva	0:1
23.03.24	Andratx - Peña Deportiva	0:2
12.11.23	Peña Deportiva - Andratx	2:1
13.03.22	Peña Deportiva - Andratx	1:0
24.10.21	Andratx - Peña Deportiva	4:3

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