Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 12

Date: 17 November 2024, Sunday


	Peña Deportiva		Cornellà

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.1	3.4
	2.06	3.1	3.4
	2.04	3.06	3.68
	2.04	3.12	3.6	Watch
	2.06	3.14	3.59
	2.06	3.1	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.81)	3.1 ↓ (3.25)	3.51 ↓ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peña Deportiva
44.7%

Draw
29.4%

Cornellà
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

28.2%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

25.6%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peña Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Peña Deportiva's form might have worsened.

Cornellà has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Deportiva than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cornellà than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Peña Deportiva - Cornellà Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Kandoussi B. ⚽,
34', 2 - 0, Barroso V. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
63', 3 - 0, Barroso V. ⚽,
71', 4 - 0, Fraile M. ⚽,
81', 4 - 1, Barry B. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Peña Deportiva is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cornellà is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Peña Deportiva will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Peña Deportiva won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Peña Deportiva won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peña Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
10.11.24	Lleida - Peña Deportiva	3:0 ✺
03.11.24	Peña Deportiva - Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	0:0 ✺
27.10.24	Andratx - Peña Deportiva	0:1 ✺
20.10.24	Peña Deportiva - Espanyol B	0:2 ✺
13.10.24	Torrent - Peña Deportiva	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTWLT
- UE Cornellà
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
10.11.24	Cornellà - CE Europa	2:3 ✺
03.11.24	Mallorca B - Cornellà	1:1 ✺
27.10.24	Cornellà - Elche Ilicitano	1:1 ✺
20.10.24	Alzira - Cornellà	1:0 ✺
13.10.24	Cornellà - Olot	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
29.04.18	Peña Deportiva - Cornellà	1:1
03.12.17	Cornellà - Peña Deportiva	1:0

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