Match Info

Regionalliga North - Round 11

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Phönix Lübeck		Oldenburg

	1	X	2
	2.22	3.40	2.75
	2.22	3.64	2.74
	2.2	3.73	2.74
	2.20	3.50	2.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.22)	3.57 ↓ (3.64)	2.73 ↓ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Phönix Lübeck
41.2%

Draw
25.5%

Oldenburg
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

25.2%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

23.5%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Phönix Lübeck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Oldenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phönix Lübeck than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldenburg than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Phönix Lübeck - Oldenburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 2nd and 5th).

Phönix Lübeck arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Oldenburg has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Phönix Lübeck may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Phönix Lübeck has faced a series of away games on the road.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Phönix Lübeck has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 12:7 (averaging 2.4:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Phönix Lübeck against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 9:4 goals (averaging 3:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Phonix Lubeck	11	7	2	2	30:9	21	23
6	VfB Oldenburg	11	7	1	3	33:17	16	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Phönix Lübeck
German Regionalliga North
19.09.26	SC Weiche-08 - Phönix Lübeck	1:2 ✺
16.09.26	Phönix Lübeck - Todesfelde	9:0 ✺
12.09.26	Eimsbütteler - Phönix Lübeck	1:3 ✺
06.09.26	Werder Bremen II - Phönix Lübeck	0:2 ✺
02.09.26	Hannoverscher SC - Phönix Lübeck	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWWW
- VfB Oldenburg
German Regionalliga North
19.09.26	Oldenburg - Jeddeloh	1:3 ✺
16.09.26	Bremer SV - Oldenburg	0:4 ✺
11.09.26	Oldenburg - Hannover II	4:3
06.09.26	Schöningen - Oldenburg	1:0 ✺
26.08.26	Todesfelde - Oldenburg	1:4
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
27.09.25	Phönix Lübeck - Oldenburg	1:2
23.11.24	Oldenburg - Phönix Lübeck	2:2
10.08.24	Phönix Lübeck - Oldenburg	3:1
26.11.23	Oldenburg - Phönix Lübeck	1:1
16.08.23	Phönix Lübeck - Oldenburg	5:1

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