Match Info

Date: 4 June 2022, Saturday


	Piast Żmigród		Stal Brzeg

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	2.9
	2.25	3.6	2.5
	2.07	3.45	2.95
	1.98	3.79	2.91
	2.02	3.52	3.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2.03)	3.53 ↑ (3.38)	2.9 ↓ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Piast Żmigród
43.3%

Draw
25.6%

Stal Brzeg
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

26.6%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

30.1%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Piast Żmigród has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Stal Brzeg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piast Żmigród than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Piast Żmigród, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Brzeg than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stal Brzeg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	21.4%	14.3%

Piast Żmigród - Stal Brzeg Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Piast Żmigród will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Stal Brzeg will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Piast Żmigród: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Piast Żmigród won 3.

Piast Żmigród is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Stal Brzeg is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Piast Żmigród will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Piast Żmigród won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Piast Żmigród won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Piast Żmigród
Polish Division 3 - Group III
28.05.22	Foto-Higiena Błyskawica Gać - Piast Żmigród	2:3 ✺
21.05.22	Piast Żmigród - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	0:2 ✺
14.05.22	Ślęza Wrocław - Piast Żmigród	0:0 ✺
07.05.22	Piast Żmigród - Górnik 2 Zabrze	1:3 ✺
04.05.22	Pniówek Pawłowice - Piast Żmigród	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLTLL
- Stal Brzeg
Polish Division 3 - Group III
28.05.22	Stal Brzeg - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	3:1 ✺
22.05.22	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Stal Brzeg	1:2 ✺
13.05.22	Stal Brzeg - Carina Gubin	3:0 ✺
07.05.22	LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój - Stal Brzeg	1:0 ✺
30.04.22	Stal Brzeg - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
30.10.21	Stal Brzeg - Piast Żmigród	0:1
03.06.21	Piast Żmigród - Stal Brzeg	0:1
18.11.20	Stal Brzeg - Piast Żmigród	1:4
10.08.19	Piast Żmigród - Stal Brzeg	0:0
25.05.19	Stal Brzeg - Piast Żmigród	0:2
03.11.18	Piast Żmigród - Stal Brzeg	0:3
09.06.18	Stal Brzeg - Piast Żmigród	1:1

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