The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Piauí 33.6%
Draw 27.8%
Atlético Piauiense 38.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.6%
27.6%
32.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41%
28.6%
31.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Piauí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Piauí's form might have worsened.
Atlético Piauiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Piauiense's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piauí than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Piauí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Piauiense than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Piauiense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Piauí - Atlético Piauiense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', 1 - 0, Wallace ⚽,
Preview
First leg.
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Piauiense (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Piauiense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In recent matches, Piauí has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
CAP is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
CAP may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Piauí has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Piauí won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).