Match Info
Date: 12 May 2021, Wednesday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Picos |
|
4 de Julho |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.65 |
3.1 |
2.45 |
|
 |
2.7 |
3.1 |
2.4 |
|
 |
2.65 |
3.05 |
2.46 |
|
 |
2.71 |
3.18 |
2.48 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.68 ↓
(2.7) |
3.11 ↑
(3.06) |
2.45 ↓
(2.56) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Picos
33.8% | Draw
29.2% | 4 de Julho
37% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Picos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)4 de Julho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Picos than the current prediction. (-9.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Picos that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for 4 de Julho than the current prediction. (+13.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that 4 de Julho could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats. 
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 7 and 4). Picos is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1). Recent matches 4 de Julho is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1). 4 de Julho could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents. The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Picos won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4. Including matches at home between the teams Picos won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Campeonato Piauiense | | | 28.04.21 | 4 de Julho - Picos | 1:1 | | 22.12.20 | Picos - 4 de Julho | 3:2 penalties | | 15.03.20 | 4 de Julho - Picos | 1:0 | | 25.01.20 | Picos - 4 de Julho | 0:0 |
|
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