Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP A - ROUND 17

Date: 11 December 2022, Sunday


	Pinerolo		Casale

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.9	5
	1.53	4.16	4.32
	1.47	3.88	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (3.07)	3.98 ↑ (3.11)	5.17 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pinerolo
59.9%

Draw
22.6%

Casale
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

29.5%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

28.3%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pinerolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+30%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pinerolo's performance.

Casale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Casale might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pinerolo than the current prediction. (-31.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pinerolo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casale than the current prediction. (+24.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Casale could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Pinerolo - Casale Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Pinerolo will win (votes: 12 - 80%). Casale will win (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pinerolo: 59.8% – 100%.

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out) and 10).

Recent matches Pinerolo is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Casale is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pinerolo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pinerolo FC
Italian Serie D - Group A
04.12.22	Fossano - Pinerolo	1:1 ✺
27.11.22	Pinerolo - Chieri	1:1 ✺
20.11.22	Castellanzese - Pinerolo	1:0 ✺
13.11.22	Pinerolo - PDHAE	1:2 ✺
06.11.22	Chisola - Pinerolo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TTLLW
- Casale
Italian Serie D - Group A
04.12.22	Casale - Unione Sanremo	0:3 ✺
27.11.22	Castanese - Casale	1:0 ✺
20.11.22	Casale - Bra	1:0 ✺
13.11.22	Legnano - Casale	1:1 ✺
06.11.22	Casale - Fezzanese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWTL

Pinerolo - Casale: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide