Match Info

GERMANY: Oberliga Bayern Süd - Round 16

Date: 12 October 2024, Saturday


	Pipinsried		Erlbach

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.25	2.55
	2.54	3.18	2.54
	2.55	3.28	2.55
	2.5	3.22	2.51
	2.5	3.25	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.14)	3.24 ↑ (3.19)	2.54 ↓ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pipinsried
36.1%

Draw
28.1%

Erlbach
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

28.7%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

30.1%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pipinsried has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pipinsried's form might have worsened.

Erlbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Erlbach's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pipinsried than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pipinsried, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erlbach than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Erlbach, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Benko F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 2 - 0, Gotzendorfer M. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Pipinsried
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
06.10.24	1860 München II - Pipinsried	3:0 ✺
03.10.24	Pipinsried - Ismaning	2:1 ✺
27.09.24	Heimstetten - Pipinsried	2:4 ✺
20.09.24	Grünwald - Pipinsried	0:3 ✺
07.09.24	Pipinsried - Kirchanschöring	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWWL
- SV Erlbach
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
06.10.24	Erlbach - Türkspor Augsburg	0:2 ✺
03.10.24	Unterhaching II - Erlbach	0:1 ✺
27.09.24	Erlbach - Sonthofen	1:0 ✺
07.09.24	Deisenhofen - Erlbach	0:1 ✺
23.08.24	Memmingen - Erlbach	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Bayern Süd
09.03.24	Erlbach - Pipinsried	0:0
20.08.23	Pipinsried - Erlbach	1:2
26.03.16	Pipinsried - Erlbach	0:1
29.08.15	Erlbach - Pipinsried	4:2

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