Match Info

Paulista A2 - First stage - Round 7

Date: 2 February 2026, Monday


	Piracicaba		Atlético Monte Azul

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.3	5.35
	1.64	3.35	5.54
	1.63	3.36	5.46	Watch
	1.65	3.1	5.5
	1.71	3.22	5.71	Watch
	1.61	3.4	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.97)	3.29 ↑ (3.26)	5.48 ↑ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Piracicaba
55.6%

Draw
27.7%

Atlético Monte Azul
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

28%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

27.3%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Piracicaba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Piracicaba's performance.

Atlético Monte Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Monte Azul might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piracicaba than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Piracicaba that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Monte Azul than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Monte Azul could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Piracicaba - Atlético Monte Azul Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, David Ribeiro ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+5', 2 - 0, Paulo Marcelo ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 9).

Piracicaba has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Monte Azul's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Piracicaba is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Piracicaba won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Piracicaba won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- XV de Piracicaba
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
28.01.26	Grêmio Prudente - Piracicaba	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Piracicaba - Osasco Sporting	1:1 ✺
21.01.26	Piracicaba - Água Santa	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Santo André - Piracicaba	1:0 ✺
14.01.26	Piracicaba - Sertãozinho	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TTTLL
- Atlético Monte Azul
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
28.01.26	Atlético Monte Azul - Votuporanguense	2:3 ✺
24.01.26	São José-SP - Atlético Monte Azul	1:1 ✺
21.01.26	São Bento - Atlético Monte Azul	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Atlético Monte Azul - Linense	0:1 ✺
14.01.26	Santo André - Atlético Monte Azul	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
10.03.24	Atlético Monte Azul - Piracicaba	4:2
25.02.23	Piracicaba - Atlético Monte Azul	1:0
09.02.22	Atlético Monte Azul - Piracicaba	0:0
24.04.21	Piracicaba - Atlético Monte Azul	1:0
04.03.20	Atlético Monte Azul - Piracicaba	0:0

Piracicaba - Atlético Monte Azul: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide