Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 8

Date: 14 June 2023, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Piracicaba		Patrocinense

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.2	4.5
	1.7	3.25	4.5
	1.8	3	4.63
	1.67	3	5
	1.72	3.32	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2.12)	3.15 ↑ (2.9)	4.71 ↑ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Piracicaba
52.3%

Draw
28.5%

Patrocinense
19.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.8%

31.3%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

31.7%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Piracicaba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Piracicaba's performance.

Patrocinense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Patrocinense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piracicaba than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Piracicaba that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patrocinense than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Patrocinense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	15.4%	7.7%

Piracicaba - Patrocinense Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Piracicaba will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Patrocinense will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Piracicaba: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Recent matches Piracicaba is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Patrocinense is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Piracicaba is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Piracicaba won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- XV de Piracicaba
Brazilian Serie D
10.06.23	Patrocinense - Piracicaba	2:0 ✺
07.06.23	Piracicaba - FC Cascavel	1:2 ✺
03.06.23	Internacional de Limeira - Piracicaba	3:6 ✺
27.05.23	Piracicaba - Ferroviária	1:1 ✺
20.05.23	Piracicaba - Clube Recreativo e Atlético Catalano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLWTW
- CA Patrocinense
Brazilian Serie D
10.06.23	Patrocinense - Piracicaba	2:0 ✺
07.06.23	Ferroviária - Patrocinense	1:1 ✺
03.06.23	Patrocinense - Maringá	0:0 ✺
27.05.23	Patrocinense - FC Cascavel	1:0 ✺
21.05.23	Operário MS - Patrocinense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
10.06.23	Patrocinense - Piracicaba	2:0

Piracicaba - Patrocinense