Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 6

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday


	Pistoiese		Pro Palazzolo

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.43	4.66
	1.5	3.68	6.23
	1.3	4.25	9.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.3)	4.12 ↓ (4.25)	6.8 ↓ (9.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pistoiese
64.2%

Draw
22.3%

Pro Palazzolo
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

21.2%

9.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.8%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pistoiese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pistoiese's form might have worsened.

Pro Palazzolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pistoiese than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pistoiese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pro Palazzolo than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Pistoiese - Pro Palazzolo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - Pistoiese (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pistoiese (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: ) and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: )).

Pistoiese is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pro Palazzolo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Pistoiese is the clear favorite.

We predict that Pistoiese will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pistoiese 1921
Italian Serie D - Group D
28.09.25	Piacenza - Pistoiese	2:2 ✺
24.09.25	Sangiuliano City Nova - Pistoiese	1:4 ✺
20.09.25	Pistoiese - Sasso Marconi	3:0 ✺
14.09.25	Rovato Vertovese - Pistoiese	0:1 ✺
07.09.25	Pistoiese - Imolese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWWWT
- Pro Palazzolo
Italian Serie D - Group D
28.09.25	Pro Palazzolo - Sasso Marconi	1:0 ✺
24.09.25	Imolese - Pro Palazzolo	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Pro Palazzolo - Sangiuliano City Nova	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Desenzano Calvina - Pro Palazzolo	1:1 ✺
07.09.25	Pro Palazzolo - Rovato Vertovese	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLTTL

Pistoiese - Pro Palazzolo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide