Match Info

NPFL - Round 8

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Plateau United		Kano Pillars

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.50	6.00
	1.54	3.39	6.7	Watch
	1.51	3.35	6.20
	1.61	3.29	6.41
	1.52	3.45	6.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.53)	3.4 ↓ (3.4)	6.34 ↓ (6.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plateau United
59%

Draw
26.7%

Kano Pillars
14.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.1%

26.6%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

26.1%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plateau United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

The chances for Kano Pillars have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plateau United than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kano Pillars than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Okiemute O. (G) 3. Abdullahi M. 26. Aghahowa A. 24. Andrew M. 32. Dawa V. 29. Ibrahim J. 27. Monday G. 10. Ojo D. 16. Okechukwu J. 7. Samson P. 25. Yahaya I.	35. Efevwerha J. (G) 10. Ali R. (C) 3. Ishaya D. 12. Ismaila S. 4. Jawad M. 13. Maduabuchi F. 5. Musa A. 6. Musa Z. 25. Salihu N. 14. Ubong F. 30. Usman F.
Substitutes
2. Ahmed U. 22. Amah J. (G) 35. Ambrose J. . Aniako R. 33. Ayanrinde S. 40. Isaiah D. 31. Mancha S. 8. Nenrot S. 19. Pam M.	2. Abdullahi A. 37. Adediran D. 27. Agu S. 31. Frank O. (G) 19. Ibrahim Y. 28. Ohanu J. 22. Shaaibu S. 26. Shola A. 9. Yahya N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Samson P. ⚽,
23', 🟨,
25', 🟨,
30', 🟨,
45+2', 2 - 0, Ojo D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 🟨,
68', 🟨,
82', 3 - 0, Ayanrinde S. ⚽,
90+4', 4 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 9th and 8th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plateau United won 2.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Kano Pillars may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Plateau United holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Plateau United has recorded 3 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:10 (averaging 0.6:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Plateau United against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, with 6:2 goals (averaging 0.9:0.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Plateau United	10	4	3	3	17:13	4	15
8	Kano Pillars	10	3	6	1	12:11	1	15

Last Results with these Odds

Plateau United - the odds 1.53 are the expected chance of winning is 59.12%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Kano Pillars - the odds 6.36 are the expected chance of winning is 14.26%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plateau United
Nigerian Premier League
04.10.26	Enyimba - Plateau United	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	Plateau United - Inter Lagos	2:0 ✺
23.09.26	Doma United - Plateau United	2:2
20.09.26	Plateau United - Shooting Stars	3:1 ✺
14.09.26	Niger Tornadoes - Plateau United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWTWT
- Kano Pillars
Nigerian Premier League
07.10.26	Shooting Stars - Kano Pillars	0:0 ✺
03.10.26	Kano Pillars - Sporting Lagos	1:1 ✺
27.09.26	Kano Pillars - Enyimba	0:0 ✺
23.09.26	Inter Lagos - Kano Pillars	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Kano Pillars - Doma United	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Nigerian Premier League
22.03.25	Plateau United - Kano Pillars	2:1
03.11.24	Kano Pillars - Plateau United	2:1
15.06.24	Plateau United - Kano Pillars	1:1
05.06.22	Plateau United - Kano Pillars	1:0
30.05.21	Plateau United - Kano Pillars	0:0
13.01.21	Kano Pillars - Plateau United	1:0
05.05.19	Kano Pillars - Plateau United	1:0

Plateau United - Kano Pillars