Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group IV - Round 26

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday


	Podhale Nowy Targ		Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.6	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (2)	3.6 ↓ (3.75)	2.8 ↓ (3)

The best margin for this event is 11.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Podhale Nowy Targ
42.9%

Draw
25%

Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

24.2%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

23.5%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Podhale Nowy Targ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Podhale Nowy Targ than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Rycaj K. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', 1 - 1, Smajdor K. ⚽,
57', 2 - 1, Rusyan S. ⚽,
59', 3 - 1, Miroshnyk R. ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Podhale Nowy Targ won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Podhale Nowy Targ won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Podhale Nowy Targ won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NKP Podhale Nowy Targ
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
13.04.24	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Podhale Nowy Targ	0:0 ✺
06.04.24	Podhale Nowy Targ - Wiązownica	3:0 ✺
30.03.24	Avia Świdnik - Podhale Nowy Targ	0:0 ✺
23.03.24	Podhale Nowy Targ - Chełmianka Chełm	1:2 ✺
16.03.24	Garbarnia Kraków - Podhale Nowy Targ	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.4 TWTLW
- Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
13.04.24	Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski - Wieczysta Kraków	0:3 ✺
06.04.24	Wisłoka Dębica - Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski - Unia Tarnów	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski	2:2 ✺
16.03.24	Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski - Sokół Sieniawa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
23.09.23	Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski - Podhale Nowy Targ	0:0
29.04.23	Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski - Podhale Nowy Targ	3:2
24.09.22	Podhale Nowy Targ - Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski	0:1
15.05.22	Podhale Nowy Targ - Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski	1:0
10.10.21	Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski - Podhale Nowy Targ	0:1
29.05.21	Podhale Nowy Targ - Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski	1:1
31.10.20	Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski - Podhale Nowy Targ	0:2

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