Match Info

Date: 23 August 2021, Monday


	Podillya Khmelnytskyi		Polissya Zhytomyr

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.2	1.9
	3.75	3	1.97
	4.06	3	2.01
	3.8	2.9	2
	3.72	3.25	1.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.81 ↓ (4.36)	3.07 ↓ (3.5)	1.97 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Podillya Khmelnytskyi
24%

Draw
29.7%

Polissya Zhytomyr
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.9%

26%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.2%

21.4%

64.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Podillya Khmelnytskyi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Polissya Zhytomyr has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Polissya Zhytomyr might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Podillya Khmelnytskyi than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Podillya Khmelnytskyi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polissya Zhytomyr than the current prediction. (+18.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Polissya Zhytomyr could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.4%	11.1%	81.5%

Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Polissya Zhytomyr Predictions

Users Predictions: Polissya Zhytomyr will win (22 of 27 users predict this - 81.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.83% – 96.13%.

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 11 and 8).

Podillya is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Polissya is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Polissya is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Podillya won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Podillya won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Podillya Khmelnytskyi
Ukrainian Cup
18.08.21	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	3:0 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
13.08.21	Kramatorsk - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	2:1 ✺
08.08.21	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - VPK-Agro	3:0 ✺
02.08.21	Volyn Lutsk - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	1:0 ✺
25.07.21	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Obolon	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWLT
- Polissya Zhytomyr
Ukrainian Cup
18.08.21	Rubikon Kyiv - Polissya Zhytomyr	0:5 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
13.08.21	Polissya Zhytomyr - Ahrobiznes Volochysk	1:0 ✺
07.08.21	Kremin Kremenchuk - Polissya Zhytomyr	0:3 ✺
31.07.21	Polissya Zhytomyr - Hirnyk-Sport	0:2 ✺
25.07.21	Nyva Ternopil - Polissya Zhytomyr	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
26.02.20	Polissya Zhytomyr - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	4:2
Ukrainian Druha Liga
10.11.19	Polissya Zhytomyr - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	2:0
Ukrainian Cup
20.08.19	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Polissya Zhytomyr	1:0
Ukrainian Druha Liga
11.05.19	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Polissya Zhytomyr	0:1
04.08.18	Polissya Zhytomyr - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	0:0
26.05.18	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Polissya Zhytomyr	2:3
04.11.17	Polissya Zhytomyr - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	0:0

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