Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 6

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday

Location: Sport Complex Podillia (Khmelnytskyi)


	Podillya Khmelnytskyi		Probiy Horodenka

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.1	2.6
	2.71	3.22	2.56	Watch
	2.35	3.15	2.72
	2.6	3.35	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.5)	3.21 ↑ (3)	2.57 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Podillya Khmelnytskyi
36.3%

Draw
28.4%

Probiy Horodenka
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

30%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

29.7%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Podillya Khmelnytskyi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Probiy Horodenka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Podillya Khmelnytskyi than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Probiy Horodenka than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Probiy Horodenka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Yurchuk V. (G) 18. Azizov D. 88. Baran R. 9. Gemega V. 17. Kozyrenko Y. 5. Lys N. 20. Nikolyshyn O. 13. Profatilo Y. 21. Rudyuk V. 35. Savin A. (C) 19. Shkinder V.	24. Pitsan I. (G) 3. Bilyi I. 31. Borysevych R. (C) 30. Felipovych V. 22. Gavrylyuk N. 16. Guk I. 6. Ivanychuk V. 15. Kharuk R. 10. Orynchak B. 5. Savchyn V. 7. Sikach M.
Substitutes
99. Kondratyuk J. (G) 10. Kulish M. 7. Kvasov Y. 98. Ponomarenko I. (G) 2. Savchuk P. 6. Serafimov O. 27. Serbinov D. 23. Shavrin V. 11. Sitalo A. 77. Snizhko O.	90. Babanin V. 19. Dmytruk I. 23. Drekalo A. 8. Drygan B. 26. Golodryga R. 25. Kovalenko M. A. (G) 77. Palagnyuk V. 44. Pasichnyk V. 9. Pylypchuk D. 11. Sondey I. 17. Volynets D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Bilyi I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Baran R. ↓, Snizhko O. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Profatilo Y. ⚽,
50', Sikach M. 🟨,
63', Snizhko O. 🟨,
74', Kharuk R. ↓, Drygan B. ↑,
81', Gemega V. ↓, Kulish M. ↑,
81', Profatilo Y. ↓, Shavrin V. ↑,
84', Yurchuk V. 🟨,
84', Orynchak B. 🟨,
86', Guk I. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Druha Liga and 12).

Podillya has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Probiy has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Podillya Khmelnytskyi
Ukrainian Persha Liga
06.09.25	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	2:1 ✺
31.08.25	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Inhulets	1:5 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
23.08.25	Skala 1911 - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	0:1 penalties ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
16.08.25	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	1:1 ✺
10.08.25	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Chornomorets Odesa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWTL
- Probiy Horodenka
Ukrainian Persha Liga
05.09.25	Probiy Horodenka - Nyva Ternopil	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Metalist Kharkiv - Probiy Horodenka	1:1 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
23.08.25	Probiy Horodenka - LNZ Cherkasy	0:1 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
15.08.25	Probiy Horodenka - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	3:4 ✺
09.08.25	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Probiy Horodenka	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTLLL

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