Match Info

3. Liga - Central - Round 10

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Podkonice		Kysucké Nové Mesto

	1	X	2
	1.28	5.25	7.25
	1.30	5.00	6.50
	1.23	5.66	7.91
	1.27	5.5	7.8	Watch
	1.21	5.6	7.8
	1.32	5.76	6.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.34)	5.46 ↓ (5.8)	7.35 ↑ (5.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Podkonice
71.2%

Draw
16.5%

Kysucké Nové Mesto
12.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.4%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

14.8%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Podkonice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Kysucké Nové Mesto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Podkonice than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Podkonice that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kysucké Nové Mesto than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 6th and 13th).

In recent outings, Podkonice has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Kysucké Nové Mesto is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

The betting markets point to Podkonice as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Podkonice has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:0 (averaging 1.5:0 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Podkonice against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Podkonice	12	4	4	4	26:23	3	16
12	K. Nove Mesto	12	2	2	8	16:32	-16	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Podkonice
Slovak 3 Liga Central
03.10.26	Námestovo - Podkonice	2:1 ✺
24.09.26	Podkonice - Ružomberok B	4:4 ✺
19.09.26	MŠK Fomat Martin - Podkonice	4:3 ✺
13.09.26	Podkonice - Baník Kalinovo	3:2 ✺
05.09.26	Novohrad Lučenec - Podkonice	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLWT
- MŠK Kysucké Nové Mesto
Slovak 3 Liga Central
03.10.26	Kysucké Nové Mesto - Tatran Oravské Veselé	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Kysucké Nové Mesto - Fiľakovo	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Rimavská Sobota - Kysucké Nové Mesto	4:1 ✺
05.09.26	Dolný Kubín - Kysucké Nové Mesto	1:0 ✺
Slovak Cup
02.09.26	Kysucké Nové Mesto - Čadca	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Slovak 3 Liga Central
07.03.26	Kysucké Nové Mesto - Podkonice	0:1
03.08.25	Podkonice - Kysucké Nové Mesto	2:0

Podkonice - Kysucké Nové Mesto