Match Info

Ekstraliga Women - Round 8

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Pogoń Tczew		Rekord Bielsko-Biała

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.9	1.66
	3.8	4.05	1.65
	3.5	4.66	1.65
	4.25	4.15	1.64	Watch
	4.32	4.32	1.62
	3.9	4.1	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.93 ↑ (3.17)	4.2 ↑ (3.36)	1.65 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Tczew
23.2%

Draw
21.7%

Rekord Bielsko-Biała
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

27%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

26.1%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Tczew has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pogoń Tczew's form might have worsened.

Rekord Bielsko-Biała has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rekord Bielsko-Biała's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Tczew than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pogoń Tczew, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rekord Bielsko-Biała than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rekord Bielsko-Biała, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pogoń Tczew - Rekord Bielsko Biała Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Pogoń Tczew is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Bielsko-Biała has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bielsko-Biała may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bielsko-Biała is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Tczew won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Tczew won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Tczew
Polish Ekstraliga Women
27.09.25	Czarni Sosnowiec - Pogoń Tczew	7:0 ✺
19.09.25	Pogoń Tczew - AP Gdańsk	0:3 ✺
31.08.25	Pogoń Tczew - UKS SMS Łódź	0:1 ✺
23.08.25	Lech UAM Poznań - Pogoń Tczew	3:1 ✺
16.08.25	Pogoń Tczew - Śląsk Wrocław	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Rekord Bielsko-Biała Women
Polish Ekstraliga Women
27.09.25	AP Gdańsk - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - UKS SMS Łódź	1:4 ✺
13.09.25	Śląsk Wrocław - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	0:1 ✺
31.08.25	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Górnik Łęczna	1:4 ✺
24.08.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraliga Women
18.04.25	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Pogoń Tczew	0:2
28.09.24	Pogoń Tczew - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	3:1
09.03.24	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Pogoń Tczew	3:0
26.08.23	Pogoń Tczew - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	3:2

Pogoń Tczew - Rekord Bielsko-Biała: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide