Match Info

Date: 14 November 2020, Saturday


	Pogoń Szczecin II		Gwardia Koszalin

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	3.8
	1.73	3.6	3.95
	1.78	3.68	3.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.93)	3.63 ↑ (3.6)	3.9 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Szczecin II
51.7%

Draw
25%

Gwardia Koszalin
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

25%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

18.5%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Szczecin II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pogoń Szczecin II's performance.

Gwardia Koszalin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gwardia Koszalin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Szczecin II than the current prediction. (-17.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pogoń Szczecin II that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gwardia Koszalin than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gwardia Koszalin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 14 and 18).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Pogoń Szczecin II is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Pogoń Szczecin II won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Pogoń Szczecin II won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Szczecin II
Polish Division 3 - Group II
11.11.20	Unia Swarzędz - Pogoń Szczecin II	3:1 ✺
08.11.20	Pogoń Szczecin II - Przodkowo	1:4 ✺
31.10.20	Chemik Police - Pogoń Szczecin II	0:2 ✺
25.10.20	Pogoń Szczecin II - Radunia Stężyca	3:3 ✺
21.10.20	Jarota Jarocin - Pogoń Szczecin II	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLWTT
- Gwardia Koszalin
Polish Division 3 - Group II
11.11.20	Gwardia Koszalin - Unia Janikowo	2:2 ✺
07.11.20	Sokół Kleczew - Gwardia Koszalin	1:0 ✺
31.10.20	Gwardia Koszalin - Bałtyk Gdynia	2:0 ✺
24.10.20	Pomorzanin Toruń - Gwardia Koszalin	1:1 ✺
17.10.20	Gwardia Koszalin - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
07.03.20	Gwardia Koszalin - Pogoń Szczecin II	3:0
04.08.19	Pogoń Szczecin II - Gwardia Koszalin	4:1
12.05.19	Pogoń Szczecin II - Gwardia Koszalin	5:0
13.10.18	Gwardia Koszalin - Pogoń Szczecin II	1:3

Pogoń Szczecin II - Gwardia Koszalin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide