Match Info

Date: 13 May 2022, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Miejski w Szczecinie (Szczecin) 🌤️ ...


	Pogoń Szczecin II		Unia Janikowo

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.6	3.4
	1.61	3.85	4.5
	1.83	3.65	3.45
	1.85	3.69	3.32
	1.87	3.72	3.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.51)	3.7 ↓ (4.6)	3.64 ↓ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Szczecin II
50.5%

Draw
24.5%

Unia Janikowo
24.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.6%

19.9%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9%

21.3%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Szczecin II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pogoń Szczecin II's form might have worsened.

Unia Janikowo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Unia Janikowo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Szczecin II than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pogoń Szczecin II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unia Janikowo than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Unia Janikowo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	11.1%	77.8%

Pogoń Szczecin II - Unia Janikowo Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin II will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Unia Janikowo will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Unia Janikowo: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 and 7).

Now both teams are in good shape.

In this match Pogoń Szczecin II is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Pogoń Szczecin II won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Szczecin II
Polish Division 3 - Group II
07.05.22	Pogoń Szczecin II - Przodkowo	1:1 ✺
01.05.22	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Pogoń Szczecin II	1:0 ✺
27.04.22	Pogoń Szczecin II - Olimpia Grudziądz	2:0 ✺
23.04.22	Sokół Kleczew - Pogoń Szczecin II	2:3 ✺
15.04.22	Pogoń Szczecin II - Jarota Jarocin	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLWWW
- Unia Janikowo
Polish Division 3 - Group II
07.05.22	Unia Janikowo - Swit Skolwin	2:1 ✺
30.04.22	Przodkowo - Unia Janikowo	2:1 ✺
27.04.22	Unia Janikowo - Stolem Gniewino	0:0 ✺
23.04.22	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Unia Janikowo	1:3 ✺
16.04.22	Unia Janikowo - Starogard Gdański	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
09.10.21	Unia Janikowo - Pogoń Szczecin II	2:1
12.09.20	Unia Janikowo - Pogoń Szczecin II	4:1
31.08.19	Unia Janikowo - Pogoń Szczecin II	4:3

Pogoń Szczecin II - Unia Janikowo