Match Info

POLAND: Ekstraliga Women - Round 11

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion Nehringa (Szczecin)


	Pogoń Tczew		Skra Częstochowa

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.2	3.6
	1.64	4.4	3.85
	1.68	4.25	3.75
	1.64	4.4	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.65)	4.31 ↓ (4.35)	3.76 ↓ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Tczew
54.9%

Draw
21%

Skra Częstochowa
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

21%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

17.4%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Tczew has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Skra Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Tczew than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pogoń Tczew that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skra Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Pogoń Tczew - Skra Częstochowa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Rydlewska B. (G) 17. Abe N. 98. Andrzejewska W. 25. Iriguchi N. 10. Kaminska K. 5. Korda M. 15. Kroupa H. 33. Sobierajska E. 11. Tobiczyk K. 80. Tryka M. (C) 6. Witczak A.	23. Geletova M. (G) 16. Dubiel Z. 30. Ejzel K. 13. Krysman O. 28. Krzyzanowska J. 48. Litwiniec M. 21. Lulkowska P. 8. Matusiak J. 10. Ozierianska M. 19. Sudyk A. 6. Szmatula W.
Substitutes
9. Conceicao I. 16. Cygan A. 2. Drzewiecka M. 7. Gadawska O. 26. Golec M. 99. Gomes C. 12. Jarguz A. (G) 8. Milewska M. 89. Wierzbinska B.	2. Baszewska K. 14. Frontczak O. 20. Kubiciel Z. 7. Liczko N. 5. Mlynek N. 15. Pompa P. 25. Sikora Z. 11. Urbanska S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Iriguchi N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+15', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 10 and 11 in the zone Relegation).

Pogoń Tczew is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Skra Częstochowa has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Pogoń Tczew is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Tczew
Polish Ekstraliga Women
03.11.24	Resovia Rzeszów - Pogoń Tczew	1:1 ✺
12.10.24	Pogoń Tczew - GKS Katowice	0:3 ✺
06.10.24	Stomilanki Olsztyn - Pogoń Tczew	2:0 ✺
28.09.24	Pogoń Tczew - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	3:1 ✺
21.09.24	UKS SMS Łódź - Pogoń Tczew	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TLLWL
- Skra Częstochowa Women
Polish Ekstraliga Women
03.11.24	Skra Częstochowa - Górnik Łęczna	0:6 ✺
12.10.24	AP Gdańsk - Skra Częstochowa	3:0 ✺
06.10.24	Skra Częstochowa - Śląsk Wrocław	0:4 ✺
29.09.24	Pogoń Szczecin - Skra Częstochowa	9:0 ✺
22.09.24	Skra Częstochowa - Czarni Sosnowiec	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Pogoń Tczew - Skra Częstochowa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide