Match Info

Date: 9 September 2022, Friday

Location: Mestský štadión Žiar nad Hronom (Žiar nad Hronom)


	Pohronie		Dubnica

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.6	3.75
	1.66	3.7	3.75
	1.71	3.75	3.85
	1.72	3.98	4.31
	1.68	3.82	4.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (2.4)	3.77 ↑ (3.3)	3.96 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pohronie
53.2%

Draw
24%

Dubnica
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

27.4%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

26.6%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pohronie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pohronie's performance.

Dubnica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dubnica might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pohronie than the current prediction. (-16.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pohronie that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dubnica than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dubnica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Pohronie - Dubnica Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Pohronie will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Dubnica will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pohronie: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Recent matches Pohronie is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dubnica is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dubnica could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Pohronie will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Pohronie won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Pohronie won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Pohronie
Slovak Cup
06.09.22	Prameň Kováčová - Pohronie	0:3 ✺
Slovak 2 Liga
03.09.22	Slavoj Trebišov - Pohronie	1:1 ✺
27.08.22	Pohronie - Žilina B	2:2 ✺
21.08.22	Petrzalka - Pohronie	3:2 ✺
12.08.22	Pohronie - Šamorín	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WTTLT
- MFK Dubnica
Slovak 2 Liga
03.09.22	Dubnica - Tatran Prešov	0:3 ✺
27.08.22	Považská Bystrica - Dubnica	2:1 ✺
Slovak Cup
24.08.22	Malacky - Dubnica	1:5 ✺
Slovak 2 Liga
20.08.22	Dubnica - Rača Bratislava	1:1 ✺
12.08.22	Spartak Myjava - Dubnica	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
01.02.20	Dubnica - Pohronie	1:5
Slovak 2 Liga
06.04.19	Dubnica - Pohronie	2:0
31.08.18	Pohronie - Dubnica	2:1
03.05.14	Dubnica - Pohronie	2:1

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