Match Info

EUROPE: Euro U21 - Qualification

Date: 15 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: Stadion Widzewa Łódź (Lodz)

Referee: Bel D. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	ProSieben Maxx, Ran, tv.dfb.de
Poland	TVP Sport


	Poland U21		Germany U21

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.5	1.95
	3.3	3.6	2.05
	3.69	3.55	2.04
	3.65	3.47	1.99	Watch
	3.47	3.74	1.96
	3.3	3.6	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↓ (3.56)	3.58 ↓ (3.61)	2.01 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poland U21
27.1%

Draw
26.2%

Germany U21
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

25.7%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poland U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Germany U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	22.2%	55.6%

Poland U21 - Germany U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Poland U21 will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Germany U21 will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Germany U21: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tobiasz K. (C) Legia 19. Marczuk D. Real Salt Lake 3. Peda P. Palermo 2. Mosor A. Rakow Czestochowa 4. Matysik M. Aris Limassol 7. Pyrka A. Piast Gliwice 21. Pienko T. Zaglebie 6. Legowski M. Yverdon 8. Kaluzinski J. Antalyaspor 17. Fornalczyk M. Korona Kielce 9. Szymczak F. Lech Poznan	12. Urbig J. (G) 1. FC Koln 11. Thielmann J. 1. FC Koln 15. Oermann T. Bochum 4. Arrey-Mbi B. Braga 3. Rothe T. Union Berlin 20. Wanner P. Heidenheim 18. Reitz R. B. Monchengladbach 6. Martel E. (C) 1. FC Koln 22. Nebel P. Mainz 17. Gruda B. Brighton 9. Tresoldi N. Hannover
Substitutes
22. Abramowicz S. (G) Jagiellonia 15. Bieganski J. Sivasspor 16. Kozubal A. Lech Poznan 10. Marchwinski F. Lecce 13. Polak C. Jagiellonia 11. Rakoczy M. Cracovia 14. Szymanski J. Wisla Plock 23. Warczak P. S. Rzeszow 20. Wlodarczyk S. Salernitana	1. Atubolu N. (G) Freiburg 14. Blank H. Salzburg 23. Ernst T. (G) Hertha Berlin 7. Knauff A. Eintracht Frankfurt 13. Kratzig F. VfB Stuttgart 19. Lemperle T. 1. FC Koln 16. Netz L. B. Monchengladbach 8. Tohumcu U. Hoffenheim
Coaches
Majewski A.	Di Salvo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
3', 0 - 1, Tresoldi N. ⚽, Rothe T. (A),
17', 1 - 1, Marczuk D. ⚽, Fornalczyk M. (A),
21', 1 - 2, Wanner P. ⚽,
30', 1 - 3, Arrey-Mbi B. ⚽, Reitz R. (A),
40', Szymczak F. 🟨,
40', Oermann T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Martel E. ↓, Tohumcu U. ↑,
46', Arrey-Mbi B. ↓, Blank H. ↑,
46', Wanner P. ↓, Knauff A. ↑,
50', 2 - 3, Kaluzinski J. ⚽,
51', Kaluzinski J. 🟨,
57', Gruda B. ↓, Kratzig F. ↑,
58', Legowski M. ↓, Kozubal A. ↑,
58', 3 - 3, Fornalczyk M. ⚽,
67', Pienko T. ↓, Rakoczy M. ↑,
72', Thielmann J. 🟨,
74', Matysik M. ↓, Warczak P. ↑,
75', Fornalczyk M. ↓, Polak C. ↑,
78', Nebel P. ↓, Lemperle T. ↑,

Preview

Germany U21 is Qualified for Euro U21

Germany U21 will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Poland U21 won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:5 (average 1.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Poland U21
UEFA Euro U21
11.10.24	Kosovo U21 - Poland U21	0:4 ✺
10.09.24	Bulgaria U21 - Poland U21	1:3 ✺
Friendly
01.06.24	Poland U21 - North Macedonia U21	1:2 ✺
UEFA Euro U21
26.03.24	Poland U21 - Bulgaria U21	0:1 ✺
21.03.24	Israel U21 - Poland U21	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLLW
- Germany U21
UEFA Euro U21
11.10.24	Germany U21 - Bulgaria U21	2:1 ✺
10.09.24	Estonia U21 - Germany U21	1:10 ✺
04.09.24	Israel U21 - Germany U21	1:5 ✺
26.03.24	Germany U21 - Israel U21	2:0 ✺
22.03.24	Germany U21 - Kosovo U21	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Euro U21
21.11.23	Germany U21 - Poland U21	3:1
07.06.22	Poland U21 - Germany U21	1:2
12.11.21	Germany U21 - Poland U21	0:4
Friendly
15.11.16	Poland U21 - Germany U21	1:0

Poland U21 - Germany U21: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide