The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Police AC 31.4%
Draw 27.7%
Kolkata Customs 40.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.7%
27.7%
31.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.6%
25.3%
28.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Police AC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Police AC's form might have worsened.
Kolkata Customs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kolkata Customs's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police AC than the current prediction. (+13.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Police AC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kolkata Customs than the current prediction. (-12.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kolkata Customs, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Calcutta Premier Division (Championship Group: ) and 5).
Police AC is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Kolkata Customs has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Police AC may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Police AC won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Police AC won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).