Match Info

Premier League - Round 23

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Police XI		Santa Green

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.1	4.25
	1.81	3.22	4.34	Watch
	1.8	3.2	4.2
	1.8	3.16	4.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.81)	3.17 ↑ (3.15)	4.29 ↓ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Police XI
50.3%

Draw
28.6%

Santa Green
21.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.1%

28.8%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

27.4%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Police XI has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

The chances for Santa Green have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police XI than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Green than the current prediction. (-1%)

Police XI - Santa Green Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

(1 - 0)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Police XI has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Santa Green is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Police XI may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Police XI has had a series of home games.

In this match, Police XI is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Police XI	7	3	2	2	4:3	1	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botswana Police XI SC
Botswana Premier League
28.02.26	Police XI - Matebele	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Police XI - Calendar Stars	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Mochudi Centre Chiefs - Police XI	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Police XI - Gaborone United	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Police XI - Morupule Wanderers	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.8 TWTTT
- Santa Green FC
Botswana Premier League
07.03.26	BDF XI - Santa Green	3:0 ✺
28.02.26	Santa Green - Morupule Wanderers	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Santa Green - Nico United	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Calendar Stars - Santa Green	0:1 ✺
04.02.26	Gaborone United - Santa Green	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLTWL

Police XI - Santa Green