Match Info

Date: 19 October 2020, Monday


	Polisi Tanzania		Gwambina

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.3
	2.1	3	3.2
	1.9	3.2	3.45
	1.91	3.2	3.6
	1.9	3.22	3.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.42)	3.12 ↑ (2.9)	3.44 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 11.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polisi Tanzania
45.2%

Draw
28.7%

Gwambina
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

30.9%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

22%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polisi Tanzania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Polisi Tanzania's performance.

Gwambina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gwambina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polisi Tanzania than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Polisi Tanzania, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gwambina than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
97.2%	0%	2.8%

Polisi Tanzania - Gwambina Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Polisi Tanzania will win (votes: 35 - 97.2%). Gwambina will win (votes: 1 - 2.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Polisi Tanzania: 91.8% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 10).

Polisi Tanzania is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Gwambina is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Polisi Tanzania could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Polisi Tanzania will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polisi Tanzania FC
Tanzanian Premier League
05.10.20	Kinondoni MC - Polisi Tanzania	0:1 ✺
26.09.20	Polisi Tanzania - Dodoma Jiji	3:0 ✺
18.09.20	Polisi Tanzania - JKT Tanzania	1:1 ✺
14.09.20	Namungo - Polisi Tanzania	0:1 ✺
07.09.20	Azam - Polisi Tanzania	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWTWL
- Gwambina FC
Tanzanian Premier League
15.10.20	Gwambina - Mtibwa Sugar	2:0 ✺
03.10.20	Gwambina - Singida Black Stars	2:0 ✺
26.09.20	Simba - Gwambina	3:0 ✺
21.09.20	Ruvu Shooting - Gwambina	1:0 ✺
11.09.20	Gwambina - Kagera Sugar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLLT

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