Match Info

ROMANIA: Superliga - Round 27

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadionul Emil Alexandrescu (Iaşi)

Referee: Andrei F. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:


Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1


	Politehnica Iași		CFR Cluj

	1	X	2
	6	4.1	1.45	Watch
	6	3.85	1.48
	7.36	4.15	1.48
	6.89	4.14	1.47	Watch
	6.5	3.9	1.44
	6.79	4.2	1.47	Watch
	6	3.85	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.51 ↑ (5.19)	4.03 ↑ (3.5)	1.47 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Politehnica Iași
14.2%

Draw
22.9%

CFR Cluj
62.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.9%

26.5%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4%

25.8%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Politehnica Iași has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

CFR Cluj has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting CFR Cluj's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Politehnica Iași than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CFR Cluj than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for CFR Cluj, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.2%	12.5%	81.2%

Politehnica Iași - CFR Cluj Predictions

Users Predictions: CFR Cluj will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Fernandez J. (G) 42. Guilherme 3. Samayoa N. 4. Moreira C. 27. Ispas R. 99. Tailson 37. Bordeianu M. 24. Marchioni J. 20. Stefanovici S. 10. Roman A. 19. Camara S.	89. Hindrich O. (G) 5. Graovac D. 4. Bolgado L. 27. Ilie M. 45. Camora M. 17. Korenica M. 88. Djokovic D. 11. Paun A. 96. Nkololo B. 9. Munteanu L. 7. Kamara M.
Substitutes
26. Adascalitei M. 30. Bordusanu A. 77. Ciobanu D. 13. Cret C. 98. Ilie V. 11. Joao Paulino 12. Niga T. (G) 5. Oum Gouet S. 9. Skuka X. 21. Tanasa M. 7. Teixeira G. 2. Umar M.	3. Abeid A. 18. Emerllahu L. 82. Fica A. 23. Iacob F. 99. Juric S. 25. Name M. 21. Popa M. (G) 93. Postolachi V. 13. Rocha S. 97. Sfait A. 6. Sinyan S. 20. Tirlea A.
Coaches
Miriuta V.	Petrescu D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Korenica M. ⚽, Camora M. (A),
27', Camara S. 🟥,
35', Samayoa N. 🟨,
38', Ispas R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Moreira C. ↓, Adascalitei M. ↑,
46', Marchioni J. ↓, Oum Gouet S. ↑,
50', Ilie M. 🟨,
64', 1 - 1, Guilherme ⚽, Roman A. (A),
65', Korenica M. 🟨,
69', Kamara M. ↓, Fica A. ↑,
69', Postolachi V. ↓, Juric S. ↑,
69', Graovac D. ↓, Rocha S. ↑,
76', Djokovic D. ↓, Emerllahu L. ↑,
80', Roman A. ↓, Diakhaby A. ↑,
84', Diakhaby A. 🟨,
89', Bordeianu M. 🟨,
90+1', Stefanovici S. ↓, Bordusanu A. ↑,
90+4', Emerllahu L. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Superliga (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: )).

Politehnica Iași is Superliga (Relegation Group )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Politehnica Iași won 0.

Politehnica Iași has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Cluj is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Cluj is a favorite.

There will not play in Cluj: Abeid A. (Injury) Deac C. (Injury) Tachtsidis P. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Politehnica Iași won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 12:32 (average 0.6:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Politehnica Iași won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9:16 (average 0.9:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSM Politehnica Iași
Romanian SuperLiga
09.02.25	Universitatea Cluj - Politehnica Iași	2:2 ✺
06.02.25	Politehnica Iași - UTA Arad	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Universitatea Craiova - Politehnica Iași	4:1 ✺
25.01.25	Politehnica Iași - Hermannstadt	0:2 ✺
20.01.25	Rapid Bucureşti - Politehnica Iași	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLLLL
- CFR Cluj
Romanian SuperLiga
10.02.25	UTA Arad - CFR Cluj	1:4 ✺
05.02.25	CFR Cluj - Hermannstadt	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	FCSB - CFR Cluj	1:1 ✺
27.01.25	CFR Cluj - Farul Constanța	3:1 ✺
19.01.25	Botoșani - CFR Cluj	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Romanian SuperLiga
05.10.24	CFR Cluj - Politehnica Iași	2:1
11.11.23	Politehnica Iași - CFR Cluj	3:3
15.07.23	CFR Cluj - Politehnica Iași	2:0
14.03.21	CFR Cluj - Politehnica Iași	4:0
06.12.20	Politehnica Iași - CFR Cluj	0:2
Romanian Cup
29.11.20	Politehnica Iași - CFR Cluj	1:0
Romanian SuperLiga
28.10.19	Politehnica Iași - CFR Cluj	2:1

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