Match Info

Super Liga - Round 11

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Complexul Sportiv al Tineretului UTM (Chişinău)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Politehnica UTM		Dacia Buiucani

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.40	3.15	Watch
	1.89	3.59	3.28
	2.22	3.54	2.77	Watch
	1.78	3.60	3.40
	1.93	3.75	3.38
	1.95	3.50	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.09)	3.56 ↑ (3.55)	3.19 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Politehnica UTM
46.3%

Draw
25.4%

Dacia Buiucani
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

25.8%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

25.5%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Politehnica UTM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Dacia Buiucani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Politehnica UTM than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dacia Buiucani than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Politehnica UTM - Dacia Buiucani Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
72. Socolov P. (G) 20. Gandi S. 77. Katz T. . Kozhusya M. . Kucher D. 22. Lipcan N. 8. Mardari A. 11. Nkalle Y. 10. Noh Nafeng Y. 7. Sprinsean A. 16. Tipac M.	12. Dumenco R. (G) 2. Calestru D. 30. Ciobanu I. 55. Ciumasu V. 70. Colis V. 90. Dijinari A. 20. Efros S. 91. Josan A. 16. Muntean A. 17. Nagurnea C. 27. Turcan S.
Substitutes
23. Andreiciu D. 2. Arhirii I. 9. Caruntu M. . Decev S. 25. Strainu D. (G) 31. Telic N. 13. Tuev A. (G) 99. Usatenco E.	3. Baciu D. 7. Dumbrava V. 4. Ghedroutan C. 8. Lambarskiy I. 9. Lupasco V. 18. Popovici D. 66. Straistaru D. 35. Tuhar C. (G) 11. Varzaru V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Cucer D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 🟨,
53', 1 - 1, Ciumasu V. ⚽,
66', 🟨,
81', 🟨,
83', 2 - 1, ⚽,
88', 🟨,
88', 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Liga (Championship Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Liga (Championship Group: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Dacia Buiucani has had a series of home games.

Politehnica is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Politehnica won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 2.5:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Politehnica won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Dacia Buiucani	13	6	2	5	17:16	1	20
6	Politehnica UTM	13	4	3	6	18:19	-1	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Politehnica UTM Chișinău
Moldovan Super Liga
29.08.26	Politehnica UTM - Real Sireți	0:0 ✺
02.08.26	Petrocub-Hîncești - Politehnica UTM	3:1 ✺
26.07.26	Politehnica UTM - Zimbru Chişinău	0:2 ✺
18.07.26	Dacia Buiucani - Politehnica UTM	1:5 ✺
11.07.26	Real Sireți - Politehnica UTM	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TLLWW
- Dacia Buiucani
Moldovan Super Liga
30.08.26	Dacia Buiucani - Milsami Orhei	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Dacia Buiucani - Petrocub-Hîncești	2:1 ✺
02.08.26	Dacia Buiucani - Zimbru Chişinău	0:4 ✺
25.07.26	Bălți - Dacia Buiucani	1:4 ✺
18.07.26	Dacia Buiucani - Politehnica UTM	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Moldovan Super Liga
18.07.26	Dacia Buiucani - Politehnica UTM	1:5
01.11.25	Politehnica UTM - Dacia Buiucani	2:1
30.08.25	Dacia Buiucani - Politehnica UTM	4:1
12.07.25	Politehnica UTM - Dacia Buiucani	2:3

Politehnica UTM - Dacia Buiucani: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide