Match Info

Super Liga - Round 13

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Complexul Sportiv al Tineretului UTM (Chişinău)

Where to Watch on TV:


Moldova	Liga TV


	Politehnica UTM		Petrocub-Hîncești

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.25	1.98
	3.24	3.25	2.02
	3.87	3.58	1.8	Watch
	3.2	3.2	2
	3.29	3.6	2.01
	3.25	3.25	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↓ (4.03)	3.36 ↓ (3.9)	1.97 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Politehnica UTM
27%

Draw
27%

Petrocub-Hîncești
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.8%

23.5%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

23.1%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Politehnica UTM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Petrocub-Hîncești has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Petrocub-Hîncești might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Politehnica UTM than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petrocub-Hîncești than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Petrocub-Hîncești could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Politehnica UTM - Petrocub Hîncești Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
72. Socolov P. (G) 2. Arhirii I. 79. Caruntu M. 15. Cojusea M. 21. Cucer D. 20. Gandi S. 77. Katz T. 22. Lipcan N. 10. Noh Nafeng Y. 7. Sprinsean A. 16. Tipac M.	1. Smalenea S. (G) 25. Botnari I. 77. Cojocari S. 13. Cojocaru M. 3. Cucos C. 24. David O. 90. Jardan I. 10. Musteata B. 15. Popescu P. 37. Puscas D. 21. Revenco I.
Substitutes
23. Andreiciu D. . Burlachuk S. . Kolibnik V. . Labic M. . Marciuc D. . Negura A. . Rebeja D. . Rebeja N. 25. Strainu D. (G) 13. Tuev A. (G) 99. Usatenco E.	31. Dodon V. (G) 23. Lupan M. 92. Nazari P. 27. Sava M. 20. Svet S. . Tsugulya D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, ⚽,
34', 🟨,
43', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
83', 🟨,
88', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 5th in the Promotion ~ Super Liga (Championship Group: ) and 3rd in the Promotion ~ Super Liga (Championship Group: )).

Recent results have been tough for Politehnica (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Petrocub has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

In this matchup, Petrocub is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Politehnica has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:14 (averaging 0.8:3.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Politehnica against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:5 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Petrocub	13	7	3	3	24:13	11	24
6	Politehnica UTM	13	4	3	6	18:19	-1	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Politehnica UTM Chișinău
Moldovan Super Liga
12.09.26	Zimbru Chişinău - Politehnica UTM	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Politehnica UTM - Dacia Buiucani	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Politehnica UTM - Real Sireți	0:0 ✺
02.08.26	Petrocub-Hîncești - Politehnica UTM	3:1 ✺
26.07.26	Politehnica UTM - Zimbru Chişinău	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWTLL
- Petrocub-Hîncești
Moldovan Super Liga
12.09.26	Petrocub-Hîncești - Real Sireți	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Sheriff Tiraspol - Petrocub-Hîncești	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Milsami Orhei - Petrocub-Hîncești	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Dacia Buiucani - Petrocub-Hîncești	2:1 ✺
02.08.26	Petrocub-Hîncești - Politehnica UTM	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Moldovan Super Liga
02.08.26	Petrocub-Hîncești - Politehnica UTM	3:1
26.10.25	Petrocub-Hîncești - Politehnica UTM	4:1
23.08.25	Politehnica UTM - Petrocub-Hîncești	0:5
05.07.25	Petrocub-Hîncești - Politehnica UTM	2:1

Politehnica UTM - Petrocub-Hîncești: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide