Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group III - Round 26

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday


	Polkowice		Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.7	3.5
	1.84	3.69	3.76	Watch
	1.75	4	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.7)	3.8 ↓ (4.15)	3.57 ↓ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polkowice
50.7%

Draw
23.9%

Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

21.9%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

18.1%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polkowice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polkowice than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Polkowice that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Baranowski F. ⚽,
22', Lazarz P. 🟥,
45+3', 2 - 0, Drewniak S. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+3', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 and 14).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Recently Polkowice have a series of guest games.

Polkowice will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Polkowice won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Polkowice won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Polkowice
Polish Division 3 - Group III
13.04.24	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Polkowice	2:0 ✺
06.04.24	Polkowice - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	Odra Bytom Odrzański - Polkowice	4:0 ✺
23.03.24	LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój - Polkowice	2:1 ✺
16.03.24	Starowice Dolne - Polkowice	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLLW
- TS Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry
Polish Division 3 - Group III
13.04.24	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Kluczbork	2:3 ✺
06.04.24	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Górnik 2 Zabrze	0:3 ✺
29.03.24	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	2:0 ✺
23.03.24	Odra Bytom Odrzański - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
23.09.23	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Polkowice	0:1
23.03.19	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Polkowice	3:3
18.08.18	Polkowice - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	5:3
31.05.18	Polkowice - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	1:2
28.10.17	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Polkowice	1:2

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