Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 8

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday


	Polonia Nysa		Stal Jasień

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.75	3.9
	1.38	4.55	6.1
	1.39	4.85	6.38	Watch
	1.37	4.49	5.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.67)	4.41 ↑ (3.85)	5.49 ↑ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Nysa
62.7%

Draw
20.7%

Stal Jasień
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

23.6%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

23%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Nysa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Polonia Nysa's performance.

Stal Jasień has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stal Jasień might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Nysa than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Polonia Nysa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Jasień than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Polonia Nysa - Stal Jasień Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Polonia Nysa (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Polonia Nysa (1.57) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Polonia Nysa (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, ⚽,
25', 2 - 0, ⚽,
27', 3 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', 3 - 1, ⚽,
64', 4 - 1, ⚽,
86', 5 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Polonia Nysa is the team to beat.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Nysa
Polish Division 3 - Group III
05.09.25	Polonia Nysa - Kluczbork	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Polonia Nysa	2:2 ✺
27.08.25	Polonia Nysa - Starowice Dolne	0:0 ✺
22.08.25	Ślęza Wrocław - Polonia Nysa	2:1 ✺
15.08.25	Polonia Nysa - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WTTLW
- Stal Jasień
Polish Division 3 - Group III
07.09.25	Stal Jasień - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	3:2 ✺
30.08.25	LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój - Stal Jasień	5:1 ✺
27.08.25	Stal Jasień - Miedź Legnica 2	1:2 ✺
23.08.25	Pniówek Pawłowice - Stal Jasień	1:2 ✺
17.08.25	Stal Jasień - Lechia Zielona Góra	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLLWL

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