Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 8

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Pontevedra B		Silva SD

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.20	2.50
	2.52	2.95	2.55
	2.48	3.16	2.6
	2.55	3.22	2.6	Watch
	2.4	3.05	2.5
	2.42	3.08	2.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (1.86)	3.11 ↓ (3.15)	2.56 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontevedra B
36.2%

Draw
28.8%

Silva SD
35%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.8%

27.6%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

27.9%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontevedra B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pontevedra B's form might have worsened.

Silva SD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Silva SD's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontevedra B than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pontevedra B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Silva SD than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Silva SD, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
72', 1 - 0, ⚽,
81', 1 - 1, ⚽,
84', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 14th and 7th).

Pontevedra B has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Silva SD shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Silva SD may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Pontevedra B has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:3 (averaging 1:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Pontevedra B against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Silva SD	8	3	2	3	11:13	-2	11
12	Pontevedra B	8	3	1	4	12:9	3	10

Last Results with these Odds

Silva SD - the odds 3.4 are the expected chance of winning is 25.59%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pontevedra B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
18.10.26	Lalín - Pontevedra B	1:0 ✺
10.10.26	Pontevedra B - Portonovo	0:1 ✺
27.09.26	Pontevedra B - Arenteiro	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Pontevedra B - Gran Peña	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Alondras - Pontevedra B	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLWLW
- Silva SD
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
18.10.26	Silva SD - Estradense	2:1 ✺
11.10.26	Lalín - Silva SD	1:3 ✺
03.10.26	Silva SD - RC Villalbes	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Barco - Silva SD	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Silva SD - Céltiga	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
23.03.24	Pontevedra B - Silva SD	2:3
05.11.23	Silva SD - Pontevedra B	0:0

Pontevedra B - Silva SD