Match Info

SA State League - Round 10

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday


	Pontian Eagles		Cove

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.8	1.9
	3.3	4	1.83
	3.4	4.09	1.82
	3.34	4.16	1.82	Watch
	3.22	4.49	1.86	Watch
	3.3	4	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (2.7)	4.09 ↑ (3.86)	1.84 ↓ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontian Eagles
28.1%

Draw
22.3%

Cove
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

23.6%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

23.5%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontian Eagles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pontian Eagles's form might have worsened.

Cove has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cove's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontian Eagles than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pontian Eagles, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cove than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cove, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pontian Eagles - Cove Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', 0 - 1, ⚽,
86', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Cove may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cove is considered a favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pontian Eagles SC
Australian SA State League
10.05.25	Salisbury United - Pontian Eagles	1:0 ✺
03.05.25	Pontian Eagles - Adelaide Blue Eagles	0:5 ✺
26.04.25	Adelaide Vipers - Pontian Eagles	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Pontian Eagles - Adelaide Olympic	3:3 ✺
05.04.25	Cumberland United - Pontian Eagles	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLTTL
- Cove FC
Australian SA State League
10.05.25	Cove - Fulham United	0:0 ✺
02.05.25	South Adelaide Panthers - Cove	2:4 ✺
25.04.25	West Adelaide - Cove	7:1 ✺
12.04.25	Cove - Salisbury United	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Adelaide Blue Eagles - Cove	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWLLL

Pontian Eagles - Cove: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide