Match Info

SA State League - Round 20

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday


	Pontian Eagles		Salisbury United

	1	X	2
	7.25	5.25	1.28
	6.8	5.3	1.27
	6.62	6.05	1.3
	14.36	9.92	1.10	Watch
	6.34	5.45	1.32
	7.5	5	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.15 ↑ (3.96)	6.16 ↑ (4.5)	1.25 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontian Eagles
11.3%

Draw
15%

Salisbury United
73.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

20.1%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

19.8%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontian Eagles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pontian Eagles's form might have worsened.

Salisbury United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Salisbury United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontian Eagles than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pontian Eagles, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salisbury United than the current prediction. (-15.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Salisbury United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pontian Eagles - Salisbury United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
8', 0 - 1, Marchioro M. ⚽,
28', 0 - 2, Van Der Hout J. ⚽,
39', 0 - 3, Shinto I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
72', 0 - 4, Shinto I. ⚽,

Preview

Recent form of Pontian Eagles has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Salisbury United's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Salisbury United is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pontian Eagles won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pontian Eagles SC
Australian SA State League
28.07.25	Adelaide Blue Eagles - Pontian Eagles	3:0 ✺
19.07.25	Pontian Eagles - Adelaide Vipers	3:1 ✺
05.07.25	Adelaide Olympic - Pontian Eagles	2:1 ✺
28.06.25	Pontian Eagles - Cumberland United	1:5 ✺
21.06.25	Sturt Lions - Pontian Eagles	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWLLL
- Salisbury United
Australian SA State League
26.07.25	Salisbury United - Fulham United	1:2 ✺
19.07.25	South Adelaide Panthers - Salisbury United	0:0 ✺
05.07.25	Salisbury United - Cove	4:3 ✺
28.06.25	Salisbury United - West Adelaide	2:0 ✺
21.06.25	Adelaide Blue Eagles - Salisbury United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Australian SA State League
10.05.25	Salisbury United - Pontian Eagles	1:0

Pontian Eagles - Salisbury United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide