Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 8

Date: 22 September 2026, Tuesday


	Poole Town		Wimborne Town

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.30	3.40
	1.89	3.25	3.20
	1.89	3.77	3.65	Watch
	1.86	3.30	3.45
	1.86	3.46	3.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (1.96)	3.42 ↓ (3.55)	3.45 ↑ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poole Town
47.7%

Draw
26.3%

Wimborne Town
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

25.5%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

27%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poole Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Wimborne Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poole Town than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wimborne Town than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Poole Town - Wimborne Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 9th and 15th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Poole won 3.

In recent outings, Poole has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Wimborne is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Poole could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Poole holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Poole has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:14 (averaging 2.1:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Poole against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 10:9 goals (averaging 2:1.8 per game).

Outrights of English Southern League South Division for now

Wimborne: 0.79%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Poole	10	7	0	3	17:12	5	21
12	Wimborne	8	3	3	2	10:4	6	12

Last Results with these Odds

Poole Town - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 46.26%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Poole Town
English Southern League South Division
12.09.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Poole Town	0:1 ✺
31.08.26	Plymouth Parkway - Poole Town	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Poole Town - Yate Town	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Berkhamsted - Poole Town	2:3 ✺
15.08.26	Poole Town - Basingstoke Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWWL
- Wimborne Town
English FA Cup
19.09.26	Weston-super-Mare - Wimborne Town	1:1 ✺
English Southern League South Division
12.09.26	Wimborne Town - Bracknell Town	2:0 ✺
31.08.26	Uxbridge - Wimborne Town	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Wimborne Town - Hanworth Villa	0:0 ✺
22.08.26	Malvern Town - Wimborne Town	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
06.04.26	Poole Town - Wimborne Town	1:2
27.12.25	Wimborne Town - Poole Town	0:2
18.02.25	Wimborne Town - Poole Town	1:0
26.08.24	Poole Town - Wimborne Town	1:0
18.04.22	Wimborne Town - Poole Town	2:4
01.01.22	Poole Town - Wimborne Town	3:1
01.01.20	Wimborne Town - Poole Town	2:1

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