Match Info

3. Liga - East - Round 9

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Poprad		Spišská Nová Ves

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.7	1.57
	4.85	3.75	1.55
	4.77	3.75	1.55
	5.31	3.78	1.55
	4.9	3.85	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.92 ↓ (5.15)	3.77 ↓ (4.25)	1.54 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poprad
18.2%

Draw
23.7%

Spišská Nová Ves
58.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.4%

21%

61.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17%

20.5%

63.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poprad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Spišská Nová Ves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poprad than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spišská Nová Ves than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spišská Nová Ves could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Poprad - Spišská Nová Ves Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Poprad won 2.

Poprad has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Spišská Nová Ves is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Spišská Nová Ves may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Spišská Nová Ves is considered a favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Poprad won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:25. (average 2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Poprad won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 2:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Poprad
Slovak Cup
30.09.25	Poprad - Tesla Stropkov	2:4 ✺
Slovak 3 Liga East
27.09.25	Vranov nad Topľou - Poprad	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Poprad - Snina	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Kežmarok - Poprad	4:1 ✺
16.08.25	Poprad - Spartak Medzev	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWLL
- FK Spišská Nová Ves
Slovak 3 Liga East
27.09.25	Spišská Nová Ves - Tesla Stropkov	2:1 ✺
06.09.25	Vranov nad Topľou - Spišská Nová Ves	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Spišská Nová Ves - Snina	3:0 ✺
Slovak Cup
27.08.25	Tatran Krásno nad Kysucou - Spišská Nová Ves	2:1 penalties ✺
05.08.25	Liptovský Mikuláš-Palúdzka - Spišská Nová Ves	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Slovak 3 Liga East
03.08.24	Spišská Nová Ves - Poprad	2:3
12.03.23	Poprad - Spišská Nová Ves	1:4
13.08.22	Spišská Nová Ves - Poprad	3:1
Slovak 4 Liga East
12.03.22	Poprad - Spišská Nová Ves	3:1
31.07.21	Spišská Nová Ves - Poprad	4:2
Slovak 2 Liga
24.03.18	Spišská Nová Ves - Poprad	0:2
02.09.17	Poprad - Spišská Nová Ves	3:1

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