Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 13

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Portici		Gioiese

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.5	4.2
	1.65	3.54	4.41
	1.66	3.54	4.41
	1.7	3.5	3.8
	1.59	3.74	4.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (2.15)	3.56 ↑ (3.2)	4.33 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portici
54.2%

Draw
25.1%

Gioiese
20.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.2%

28.4%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

27.4%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portici has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portici's performance.

Gioiese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gioiese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portici than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portici that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gioiese than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gioiese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: ) and 17 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )).

Recent matches Portici is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gioiese is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Gioiese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Portici is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portici 1906
Italian Serie D - Group I
05.11.23	Licata - Portici	2:1 ✺
28.10.23	Portici - Siracusa	0:5 ✺
22.10.23	San Luca - Portici	1:2 ✺
15.10.23	Portici - Lamezia Terme	2:1 ✺
08.10.23	Acireale - Portici	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LLWWL
- Gioiese 1918
Italian Serie D - Group I
05.11.23	Gioiese - Siracusa	0:4 ✺
02.11.23	San Luca - Gioiese	1:1 ✺
29.10.23	Gioiese - Lamezia Terme	0:0 ✺
22.10.23	Acireale - Gioiese	1:0 ✺
15.10.23	Gioiese - Reggina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTTLL

Portici - Gioiese

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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