Match Info

NWSL Women

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Providence Park (Portland, OR)

Referee: Jensen B. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	NWSL+


	Portland Thorns		Orlando Pride

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.93	3.40	3.25
	1.91	3.40	3.25
	1.93	3.85	3.23
	1.99	3.92	3.21	Watch
	1.89	3.75	3.10
	1.87	3.62	3.45	Watch
	1.98	3.45	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.86)	3.63 ↑ (3.6)	3.25 ↓ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portland Thorns
47.1%

Draw
25%

Orlando Pride
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

25.1%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

21.5%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portland Thorns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Orlando Pride has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Thorns than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portland Thorns that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando Pride than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Portland Thorns - Orlando Pride Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Arnold M. (G) 4. Calzada C. 5. Obaze I. 24. Perry J. 25. Vignola M. 20. Nijstad N. 21. Fleming J. (C) 23. Muller M. 10. Castellanos D. 19. Tordin P. 9. Wilson S.	1. Moorhouse A. (G) 21. Hernandez O. 12. Dyke C. 4. Rafaelle Souza 5. Mace H. 20. Doyle J. 2. McCutcheon H. (C) 6. Lemos A. 29. Washington S. 11. Banda B. 13. Ovalle L.
Substitutes
6. Bogere C. 7. Hanks C. 15. Harvey S. 16. Hiatt S. 41. Lyles R. 29. Mckenzie M. 35. Messner M. (G) 2. Reyes R. 22. Weaver M.	7. Angelina 16. Chavoshi Z. 18. Gabi Nunes 8. Luana Bertolucci 31. Martin C. (G) 33. Matthews Z. 77. Morche C. (G) 23. Payne N. 28. Yates S.
Coaches
Vilahamn R.	Hines S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Ovalle L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', Doyle J. 🟨,
58', 1 - 0, Castellanos D. ⚽, Tordin P. (A),
63', 1 - 1, Ovalle L. ⚽,
65', Banda B. ↓, Angelina ↑,
65', Doyle J. ↓, Yates S. ↑,
67', Muller M. ↓, Weaver M. ↑,
76', Hernandez O. ↓, Chavoshi Z. ↑,
78', Obaze I. ↓, Hiatt S. ↑,
78', Castellanos D. ↓, Lyles R. ↑,
85', Nijstad N. ↓, Bogere C. ↑,
85', Rafaelle Souza 🟨,
88', Tordin P. ↓, Hanks C. ↑,
89', Rafaelle Souza ↓, Matthews Z. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 1, Hanks C. ⚽, Vignola M. (A),
90+8', Mace H. ↓, Gabi Nunes ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland Thorns won 2.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Portland Thorns may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Portland Thorns has had a series of away games.

Portland Thorns might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Portland Thorns won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 41:18. (average 2.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Portland Thorns won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 28:8. (average 2.8:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Portland Thorns W	27	12	7	8	45:39	6	43
11	Orlando Pride W	27	10	3	14	36:43	-7	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portland Thorns
NWSL
09.08.26	Boston Legacy - Portland Thorns	3:4 ✺
02.08.26	Utah Royals - Portland Thorns	5:1 ✺
24.07.26	Portland Thorns - NJ NY Gotham	2:2 ✺
18.07.26	Denver Summit - Portland Thorns	2:1 ✺
12.07.26	Seattle Reign - Portland Thorns	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLTLL
- Orlando Pride
NWSL
07.08.26	Orlando Pride - Racing Louisville	1:3 ✺
31.07.26	North Carolina Courage - Orlando Pride	5:0 ✺
24.07.26	Orlando Pride - Chicago Stars	1:0 ✺
18.07.26	Utah Royals - Orlando Pride	1:0 ✺
15.07.26	Orlando Pride - Boston Legacy	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

NWSL
10.10.25	Orlando Pride - Portland Thorns	1:0
03.05.25	Portland Thorns - Orlando Pride	1:0
11.10.24	Portland Thorns - Orlando Pride	2:0
24.05.24	Orlando Pride - Portland Thorns	2:1
11.06.23	Orlando Pride - Portland Thorns	3:1
26.03.23	Portland Thorns - Orlando Pride	4:0
09.09.22	Orlando Pride - Portland Thorns	0:2

Portland Thorns - Orlando Pride: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide