The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Portland Thorns 34.3%
Draw 28.2%
San Diego Wave 37.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.1%
26.4%
37.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.2%
26.5%
37.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portland Thorns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
San Diego Wave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Thorns than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego Wave than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Portland Thorns - San Diego Wave Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
18. Arnold M. (G) 2. Reyes R. 5. Obaze I. 24. Perry J. 23. Muller M. 21. Fleming J. (C) 6. Bogere C. 66. Turner R. 13. Moultrie O. 19. Tordin P. 9. Wilson S.
99. Freeman L. (G) 16. Van Zanten A. D. 2. Wesley K. 14. McNabb K. 75. Morroni P. 22. Godfrey L. E. 10. Dali K. 18. Fazer L. 8. Ascanio K. 17. Ludmila 88. Dudinha
Substitutes
26. Alidou d'Anjou M. 4. Calzada C. 10. Castellanos D. 16. Hiatt S. 41. Lyles R. 29. Mckenzie M. 35. Messner M. (G) 11. Padelski M. 25. Vignola M.
1. Agudelo L. (G) 30. Arias D. 7. Barcenas M. 15. Byars T. 28. Fusco J. 81. Gabi Portilho 23. Harrison N. 33. Pickett K. 19. Wynalda T.
Coaches
Vilahamn R.
Eidevall J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Muller M. ⚽, Moultrie O. (A),
40', Wilson S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Godfrey L. E. ↓, Gabi Portilho ↑,
59', Ludmila ↓, Barcenas M. ↑,
59', Turner R. ↓, Alidou d'Anjou M. ↑,
64', 2 - 0, Wilson S. ⚽, Alidou d'Anjou M. (A),
68', Ascanio K. ↓, Byars T. ↑,
72', Byars T. 🟨,
76', Tordin P. ↓, Lyles R. ↑,
85', Reyes R. ↓, Vignola M. ↑,
85', Perry J. 🟨,
88', Fazer L. ↓, Wynalda T. ↑,
88', Van Zanten A. D. ↓, Fusco J. ↑,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland Thorns won 1.
Portland Thorns is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
San Diego Wave is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Portland Thorns may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
San Diego Wave is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Portland Thorns won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:22. (average 1.3:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Portland Thorns won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.5:1.1).