Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 8

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	Portmany		Llosetense

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.4	1.92
	4.51	2.21	2.46	Watch
	3.58	3.42	1.9
	2.64	3.25	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (2.62)	3.07 ↓ (3.2)	2.18 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portmany
26.6%

Draw
30.4%

Llosetense
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

28%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

27.9%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portmany has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Portmany's form might have worsened.

Llosetense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Llosetense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portmany than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Portmany, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llosetense than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Llosetense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Portmany - Llosetense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portmany won 0.

Portmany is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Llosetense is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Portmany may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Portmany won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Portmany won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Portmany
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
04.10.25	Mercadal - Portmany	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Portmany - Binissalem	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Felanitx - Portmany	3:0 ✺
13.09.25	Portmany - Peña Deportiva	0:1 ✺
06.09.25	Constancia - Portmany	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLLL
- CD Llosetense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
19.10.25	Llosetense - Rotlet Molinar	3:0 ✺
11.10.25	Collerense - Llosetense	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Llosetense - Santanyí	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Son Cladera - Llosetense	0:3 ✺
20.09.25	Llosetense - Alcúdia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
11.05.25	Llosetense - Portmany	5:4
11.01.25	Portmany - Llosetense	1:1
25.02.24	Portmany - Llosetense	0:0
08.10.23	Llosetense - Portmany	2:1
06.04.23	Llosetense - Portmany	0:0
10.12.22	Portmany - Llosetense	2:1
09.02.22	Llosetense - Portmany	1:2

Portmany - Llosetense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide